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BEEF'S COW CALF WEEKLY    January 11, 2008  |  A PENTON MEDIA PUBLICATION
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MOST READ IN 2007!

Top 10 Articles
1. State Fair Fiasco Story Just Keeps Giving & Giving
2. What Will R-CALF's Implosion Bring?
3. Some Facts & Myths Regarding Higher Corn Prices
4. R-CALF Schism Spawns New Cattlemen's Group
5. 2007 Fencing Guide
6. 2007 Feed Composition Tables
7. Unwanted Horses Being Abandoned In Kentucky
8. Is The Optimal Beef Cow Fact Or Fiction?
9. Pastureland Survey Shows Lease Rates Still Climbing
10. Cowboy Obstetrics: Assisting With Calving

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1. Cow Calf Weekly Archives
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3. Markets
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    Table Of Contents
> Grains Are Higher; What About Livestock?
> Should We Just Accept And Adapt To Ethanol?
> Which Flock Are You Flying With?
> CERCLA Reporting Exemption For Animal Waste
> Cargill Pushing First National Brand Of Ground Beef
> Cloned-Animal Decision Discussed In Farm Bill
> Colorado Snowpack Eases Drought Worries
> Comment Deadline For Naturally Raised Claim
> Eight Issues For Cattlemen To Watch For In '08
> Flood Dams At Risk
> Global Oil Markets To Remain Tight Through 2008
> Grant Will Fund Grass-Fed Beef Production Study
> Help For Cow-Calf Producers Exploring "Natural"
> House Of Representatives Returns Next Week
> Indiana Ag Department Begins Certified Program
> LMA Says USDA Horse Rule A Nightmare
> Manage Your Operation For Both Beef & Birds
> Market Controls Forcing Argentine Ranchers Out
> NGFA Satisfied With Standards On Distillers Grains
> Optimistic Outlook For Fed and Feeder Prices
> R-CALF Sets Feb 20-23 Convention In Omaha
> Retail Gasoline, Diesel Up Across The Country

    Our Perspective
    Grains Are Higher; What About Livestock?

Corn continues to be the ingredient everyone is watching. The latest price run-up in corn has many people talking about a new all-time high. Of course, wheat and soybean prices also have been exploding.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall



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    Should We Just Accept And Adapt To Ethanol?

"Accept and adapt" has certainly been the rallying cry of leading management gurus regarding the government-created ethanol boom. These experts have a valid point.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall

    Which Flock Are You Flying With?

There's an old saying that is amazingly accurate: "Birds of a feather flock together."
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall



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      CERCLA Reporting Exemption For Animal Waste

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has published its proposed rule to exempt air releases related to animal ag from emergency release reporting requirements under the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act (CERCLA) and the Emergency Planning Community Right to Know Act (EPCRA).

Under the proposal, the reporting requirements for CERCLA and EPCRA wouldn't apply to air releases of ammonia and hydrogen sulfide from animal waste at farms. EPA says it's proposing to eliminate these reports for air releases from animal waste at farms because "it is unnecessary to respond to such reports. This proposed rule would reduce the burden on the regulated community of complying with these reporting requirements and allow emergency responders to focus on hazardous substance releases that would require a response."

Comments are due by March 27. Find more info on the rule at: www.epa.gov/emergencies/content/epcra/cercla_dec07.htm.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Cargill Pushing First National Brand Of Ground Beef

Meadowlands Farms ground beef is Cargill's latest national branding effort, reports portfolio.com. About 500 grocery stores in the Northeast, West Coast and Upper Midwest have signed on to carry the brand, which features a variety of lean ratings as well as sirloin, chuck and ground beef cuts. In addition to the one-lb. trays commonly seen in meat cases, 10-lb. chubs are also available for restaurants and other service industries.

The ground beef is produced at plants in Fresno, CA, Milwaukee, WI, and Wyalusing, PA. More than 120 million people live within an eight-hour drive, which promotes the brand's regional marketing effort. The proximity ensures the product can be transported quickly and within a day's drive, which ensures freshness, the article says.
- portfolio.com



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      Cloned-Animal Decision Discussed In Farm Bill

The Senate-passed farm bill calls for more time to review the impact of bringing cloned food into the nation's food supply. It also requires two studies be completed by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) before the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) can issue its final decision on allowing cloned food in the market place.

NAS is to convene the nation's top scientists to review the FDA's initial decision that food from cloned animals is safe. It also requires NAS to study the "potential health impacts" if cloned foods are allowed to enter the food supply, including the "possibility of an increase in people developing chronic diseases" if they consume less milk for fear of cloned animals. Meanwhile, USDA is to examine consumer acceptance of cloned foods and the impact they could have on domestic and international markets.

Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD), sponsor of the cloned-animal provision, said, "Just because something has been created in a lab, doesn't mean we should have to eat it. If we discover a problem with cloned food after it is in our food supply and it's not labeled, the FDA won't be able to recall it like they did Vioxx -- the food will already be tainted." She went on to say, "Before we allow cloned animals into our food supply, we must know more about it. When something is this new, unclear and uncertain, we need to be sure."
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Colorado Snowpack Eases Drought Worries

Enough snow fell on Colorado the end of 2007 to avert dangerously dry conditions that were beginning to emerge, says state climatologist Nolan Doesken.

"Going into the end of November, it was very touch and go -- drought conditions were redeveloping over the eastern Plains and snowfall in the mountains was much less than average," Doesken said. But weather patterns changed abruptly. "We went from being dangerously dry and warm to being back on track for an average winter."

Snowpack in the Colorado mountains, the source for much of the state's irrigation water, has now climbed to near average for this time of year in the northern mountains, and to more than 140% of average in the southern mountains, government data shows.
-- Colorado State University release



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      Comment Deadline For Naturally Raised Claim

The deadline for public comments on USDA's proposed voluntary standard for a naturally raised marketing claim for livestock and meat is Jan. 28. The proposed standard will establish the minimum requirements for those producers who choose to operate a USDA-verified program involving a naturally raised claim. This will be a voluntary program.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

    Eight Issues For Cattlemen To Watch For In '08

Here are eight issues that look to be top of mind for the U.S. beef industry in the coming 12 months.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Burt Rutherford & Joe Roybal

      Flood Dams At Risk

The recent rupture of an earthen levy in Nevada should serve as a warning -- it's time to focus on rehabilitating flood control dams, says Scotty Herriman, president of the Oklahoma Association of Conservation Districts.

An irrigation canal in Frenley, NV ruptured after receiving heavy rain and snowfall, says Ron Hays of Radio Oklahoma Network. "The damage that appears to have caused this levy to break is very similar to the problems facing many of our state's flood control dams due to the shortage of operation and maintenance funds,' Herriman says. Burrowing animals, trees and brush, and natural erosion are constantly at work on these dams, he says. There simply isn't enough money to keep up with the damage.

Oklahoma has more flood-control dams than any other state. Herriman says figures from the Oklahoma Conservation Commission show a need for at least $25 million, spread out over the next five years, just to address the day-to-day operation and maintenance of Oklahoma's flood-control infrastructure. This is on top of the need for funds to rehabilitate the 1,000+ flood-control dams that will be past their design life over the next 10 years.
-- Ron Hays, Radio Oklahoma Network



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      Global Oil Markets To Remain Tight Through 2008

The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) short-term energy outlook was released this week. Among its prognostications is that the retail prices for petroleum products are expected to increase in 2008, pushed by higher average crude oil prices. Both motor gasoline and diesel are projected to average more than $3/gal. in 2008 and 2009, with monthly average gasoline prices peaking near $3.50 this spring.

In addition, global oil markets will likely remain tight through 2008, easing moderately in 2009. EIA expects world oil demand to continue to grow faster than oil supply outside the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in 2008, leaving OPEC and inventories to offset the upward pressure on prices.

In 2009, higher non-OPEC production and planned additions to OPEC capacity should relieve some market tightness. As a result, the level of surplus production capacity is projected to grow from its current level of under 2 million barrels/day to more than 4 million by the end of 2009.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price, which approached $100/barrel twice over the last six weeks, is expected to average $94/barrel in January 2008. The WTI price averaged $72/barrel in 2007, and is expected to average about $87/barrel in 2008 and $82 in 2009.

Go to www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html to see the report.
-- Energy Information Administration

      Grant Will Fund Grass-Fed Beef Production Study

A two-year, $81,000 grant from the state of Washington will test the feasibility and replicability of converting land coming out of the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) into a vertically integrated grass-fed beef production system. More than 1 million acres in Washington are enrolled in CRP.

"We seek to develop a replicable strategy to help farmers make the transition from conventional dryland wheat production to sustainable alternatives that are profitable, good for the environment and that allow farmers to remain on the land and support rural communities," says Don Nelson, Washington State University (WSU) Extension beef specialist.

The study will take place at G & L Farms in the southeast corner of Adams County, which will test a holistic approach to the profitable production of value-added natural or organic grass-fed beef by becoming an integral part of the production chain based on cooperation of the segments from conception to consumption," he adds.

Washington's Agricultural Pilots Projects program was created to develop and test regional programs and management practices that could reconcile conflicts between existing agricultural land uses and protection of critical areas.
-- WSU news release

      Help For Cow-Calf Producers Exploring "Natural"

A "natural" beef production meeting is set for Jan. 23 at the Ramada Inn in Aberdeen. Sponsored by the South Dakota Cooperative Extension Service, experts from South Dakota State University (SDSU), USDA and private industry will discuss what's involved in operating "the natural ranch."

The pre-registration deadline is Jan. 18; the registration fee is $30.

For more info or to pre-register, contact Tyler Melroe at 605-448-5171 or Tyler.Melroe@sdstate.edu; Russ Daly, DVM at 605-688-6589 or Russell.Daly@sdstate.edu; or Jim Krantz at 605-772-4661 or Jim.Krantz@sdstate.edu.
-- SDSU news release

      House Of Representatives Returns Next Week

The House of Representatives returns next week with the Senate returning the following week. The House and Senate Ag Committee staffs have been meeting in preparation for the House-Senate farm bill conference report. The major issue will be how to fund the farm bill, with the administration threatening a veto if the bill includes tax increases. Other key issues will be payment limitations, conservation, commodity programs, country-of-origin labeling, and the packer ban. The deadline is March 15.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Indiana Ag Department Begins Certified Program

The Indiana State Department of Ag (ISDA) will begin the pilot phase of the Certified Livestock Producer Program (CLPP) this month. Several producers have volunteered for the pilot program, which will test the proposed specifications to determine if the program is effective for statewide implementation.

CLPP will recognize producers who are willing to demonstrate their commitment to the environment, animal well-being, food safety, emergency planning, biosecurity and being a good neighbor.
-- Indiana State Department of Agriculture release

      LMA Says USDA Horse Rule A Nightmare

The Livestock Marketing Association (LMA) says a USDA-proposed rule on transporting horses sets up "an unauthorized administrative and enforcement nightmare for the equine industry and livestock markets."

USDA already has a rule in place banning horse transportation to slaughter in double-decker trucks. The proposed rule would extend that ban, making it illegal to transport horses in double-decker trucks to intermediate points, such as a stockyard, feedyard or assembly point.

"LMA is concerned these changes will have a significant negative administrative impact on its member markets and a broader negative economic impact on the equine industry," the group said in comments to USDA. "Until the agency has a better fix on the degree of the problem, its ability to enforce this rule on the many vs. a selective few, and its overall impact on the equine industry and allied businesses, the proposed rule should be withdrawn," LMA said.
-- LMA release

    Manage Your Operation For Both Beef & Birds

If someone asked how many cattle you ran on your ranch, surely you'd know a number. But if you were asked how many species of birds and wildlife could be found on your land, would you know? Would it be important to know?
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Kindra Gordon

      Market Controls Forcing Argentine Ranchers Out

Soaring grain prices and export caps are driving many cattle ranchers in Argentina to sell their herds and farm more lucrative crops, reports Lean Trimmings newsletter. The culprit is export caps imposed by former President Nestor Kirchner as an anti-inflation measure, which have flooded the local market with meat, keeping beef prices low while soybean, corn and wheat prices soar. The trend has driven Argentina, the world's biggest beef exporter until the 1950s, to fourth in USDA rankings, behind Brazil, Australia and India. USDA predicts Argentina will fall to fifth place behind Canada in the coming year, according to AP. Per capita meat consumption among Argentines is nearly 154 lbs./year.
-- National Meat Association's Lean Trimmings

      NGFA Satisfied With Standards On Distillers Grains

The National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA) is recommending USDA not develop standards for biofuel products -- such as distiller's dried grains or DDGs -- claiming that existing government and industry frameworks for such products are working.

In a statement submitted to USDA's Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration, NGFA said existing procedures for approving feed ingredients, and the NGFA's own Grain Trade Rules, Feed Trade Rules and Arbitration System, already provide parameters for trading distillers grains and other biofuel products.

"We believe the existing government and industry frameworks are working well and provide for the effective trading of these products and do not believe that additional involvement by GIPSA is necessary to further enhance the marketing of grain inputs used for ethanol production or the resulting distillers grains products," the NGFA wrote.

"The NGFA believes additional government standards for these inputs could have the negative impacts of stifling the rewards of innovation, reducing the number and quality of products available in the marketplace and ultimately limiting the opportunities for either buyer or seller to capture optimal value for these products."

GIPSA is considering whether to develop standards for distillers dried grains with solubles and standardized testing methods for ethanol product quality factors.

NGFA represents 900 grain, feed, processing, exporting and other grain-related companies.
-- Forrest Laws, Farm Press

      Optimistic Outlook For Fed and Feeder Prices

Look for fed- and feeder-cattle prices to remain high in 2008, says Jim Gill, Texas Cattle Feeders Association (TCFA) market director, Amarillo.

"Competition for fed cattle among packers will increase in 2008 and packers will have to pay more for the cattle they want," Gill says. "In addition, the weak dollar will make beef exports more attractive to other countries. It will be a while before we get exports back to pre-2003 levels, but I expect a continued increase this year."

Gill's outlook for fed-cattle prices: $93-$105 for the first quarter; $91-$96 for the second quarter; $95-$98 for the third quarter; and $96-$104 for the fourth.

Feeder-cattle prices should see similar strength. "We're dollars below the record Feeder Cattle Index of $120.10 set on Sept. 10, 2006, but we're at a level now that looks attractive to anyone wanting to buy feeder cattle," he says.

But don't look for any bargains. While higher corn prices and losses in cattle feeding have pressured feeder-cattle prices, tight supplies are likely close to putting a floor under the feeder cattle market, Gill says.

Herd expansion, and thus feeder cattle supplies, will remain flat, Gill says, due largely to drought and high corn prices. The farm level corn price in the Corn Belt in September-November last year was $3.36, according to USDA. "I would expect the price for the 2007-08 year to be near $3.80, and for the 2008-09 year to be closer to $4.25."
-- TCFA Newsletter

      R-CALF Sets Feb 20-23 Convention In Omaha

R-CALF USA will hold its 9th annual convention Feb. 20-23 at the Holiday Inn Omaha Convention Center in Omaha, NE. Themed "Fighting for the U.S. Cattle Producer's Prosperity -- Together," a Feb. 20 seminar on private property rights kicks off the meeting. For more info, call 406-252-2516.
-- R-CALF release

      Retail Gasoline, Diesel Up Across The Country

The highest January price ever for regular gasoline was registered as the U.S. average retail price shot up 5.6¢ to $3.109/gal., as of Jan. 7 -- 80.3¢ over a year ago. Retail diesel also increased -- by 3.1¢ --to $3.376/gal., or 83.9¢ higher than last year.

Gasoline prices were up across all regions. The Midwest added 6.9¢ to $3.101 (89.1¢/gal. more than last year), the East Coast rose 5.9¢ to $3.124, the Gulf Coast jumped 5.7¢ to $2.977, the Rocky Mountains gained 2.9¢ to $2.95, and the West Coast logged the highest regional price, rising 2.9¢ to $3.247/gal. California's average price for regular climbed 3¢ to $3.328.

Meanwhile, all regional prices for diesel were up, with the East Coast adding 3.7¢ to $3.436/gal., the Midwest 3.6¢ to $3.345, the Gulf Coast 2.5¢ to $3.318, the Rocky Mountains 0.7¢ to $3.276, and the West Coast adding 2.3¢ to $3.474. California added 3.5¢ to $3.526.
-- Energy Information Administration



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