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BEEF'S COW CALF WEEKLY    October 31, 2008  |  A PENTON MEDIA PUBLICATION
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    Table Of Contents
> Only Three More Days To The Election
> Are You Ready For A Post-Election Bounce?
> Does Taking Action Trump Thinking It Through?
> August Beef Export Value Sets A Record
> CAB Scholarships Available
> CNB Aims To Help Feedlot Workers Resolve Union Issue
> California Prop 2 On the Ballot Next Tuesday
> Canada Approves E. coli O157:H7 Vaccine
> DHS Issues Supplemental “No-Match” Rule
> Demand For DDGs In Mexico Could Quadruple
> Falling Gas/Diesel Prices Provide Some Good News
> Food-Safety Legislation Will Be Priority Next Year
> Get The Most From Grazing Corn Stalks
> Invest In Yourself; Attend The BEEF Quality Summit
> Manure Management Conference Set
> Meat Industry Illness/Injury Rates Lowest On Record
> South Dakota Couple Speaks Up For Agriculture
> Temple Grandin Talks About Her Upcoming HBO Biopic
> USDA Clarifies Comments On Ethanol Plant Loans
> USDA Revises October Crop Forecasts
> Want To Build A Packing Plant? Think Again
> Washington Cattleman Sues Over COOL

    Our Perspective
    Only Three More Days To The Election

I can almost hear a collective sigh of relief from the majority of Americans as this election comes down the final stretch run. Even the political junkies who love the intrigue, the money, the battle of ideas, the strategy and the urgency surrounding the electoral process are probably ready for the actual voting to take place.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall



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      Are You Ready For A Post-Election Bounce?

Don't get me wrong, after the last six weeks only a foolish person would claim to know the direction of the market, but I do believe the nation is poised for some good news.

Of course, the financial meltdown was anything but good news, and the latest economic indicators show that for the first quarter since 2001 the economy actually contracted (.3% reduction in GDP in the third quarter). Still, there was a lot of effort being put into the message that things were much more dire than they actually may be.

The incentive to exploit or create a crisis is going to be greatly diminished after the election. More attention will also turn to building consumer confidence rather than tearing it down as has been the case recently. Plus, there’s always an initial euphoria that follows a national election, especially one that ushers in such sweeping change in the political landscape as this one promises to do.

Americans obviously want change, and they’re certainly going to get it. We’re an optimistic people; with the election behind us, we should get a surge of both hope and optimism in the marketplace.

For one thing, the market usually prices in either good news or bad news before it actually happens. Thus, Wall Street may not be 100% enchanted with the upcoming election results, but that outcome has already been priced into the markets.

In addition, media coverage will likely turn sharply optimistic, and it’s impossible to overstate the rule of the self-fulfilling prophecy. Truth is, whether it’s the cattle markets or the general economy, we’ve thrown as much bad news at them as there is out there.

I'm certainly anticipating a post-election bounce that sees the markets return to market fundamentals. Certainly, with the economy now officially appearing to be in recession, there will still be demand concerns. But recent demand has been pretty vibrant with all things considered, and the supply situation continues to be bullish overall.
-- Troy Marshall

      Does Taking Action Trump Thinking It Through?

“Taking action is more important than thinking it through.” I'm sure there are college professors cringing at that statement. It isn't my intention to make a case that having a well thought out plan of action isn't important, but rather just to point out that the key is having a plan of action, and actually implementing that plan.

Nobody can be certain of what will happen. The key to success more times than not is getting to the plate as much as having the perfect swing once you get there.

In today's information-intense world, collecting and analyzing data can almost become paralyzing. More times than not, the key is to gather the best information, take a look at it, and then act upon it. You won't be right 100% of the time, but in today's world the key is usually just being right 51% of the time.

In fact, some business experts would argue that the goal may be closer to being right just 10% of the time, because success is determined by being in position to take advantage of market opportunities when they arise. By demanding almost universal success, you ensure that you achieve nothing of true significance, they argue.

The experts point out that failure is something that should actually be rewarded, even cherished. They say it’s far more important to have a clear idea of what you’re trying to achieve and be committed to it, than to have a great plan of how you are going to get there. Thus, being 100% committed to building a great cowherd is more important than having the plan of how to get there because flexibility is so important, circumstances change, and opportunities arise, as will unexpected obstacles and challenges.

It’s the commitment to action and to the ultimate goal that enables you to discover the path. The reality is that in today's world there are plenty of proven paths, but because they are safe and well-defined, they also tend to have a lot of travelers, with well-established destinations.

Christopher Columbus, for instance, understood that planning is important, but eventually the journey doesn't really start until you get in the boat.
-- Troy Marshall



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      August Beef Export Value Sets A Record

Exports of U.S. beef and variety meats in August surpassed July by almost 15%, logging in at $416 million. That exceeds the previous value record of $387 million set in June 2003.

Year to date, beef exports have recovered 93% of value and 75% of volume when compared to January-August 2003. BSE was discovered in the U.S. in December 2003, which led to the loss of virtually all U.S. beef export markets.

Destination-wise, Mexico and Canada combined to account for about 60% of August’s beef export volume and 63% of export value. Beef exports to Mexico, which set a record for both value and volume in July, set another value record of $150.6 million in August. Beef exports to Mexico have climbed 19% in volume (616.7 million lbs.) from January to August, and 25% in value (to $975.5 million) over 2007.

Meanwhile, beef exports to Canada have increased 35% in volume and 38% in value over last year, to 241.9 million lbs., and $513.8 million, respectively.
-- Lean Trimmings newsletter

      CAB Scholarships Available

College juniors and seniors are encouraged to apply for one of five scholarships sponsored by Certified Angus Beef (CAB) and the Colvin Scholarship Fund. CAB will award $9,000 to students committed to the beef industry and pursuing a degree in meat, food or animal science or marketing, business, communications or other related degrees.

Application deadline is Dec. 15. For more info, go to www.certifiedangusbeef.com/corp/press/colvin or contact June Studer at jstuder@certifiedangusbeef.com.
-- CAB release



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    CNB Aims To Help Feedlot Workers Resolve Union Issue

Country Natural Beef (CNB) – a rancher-owned cooperative – finds itself in an unenviable position that serves as both a warning and reminder to livestock producers, especially those willing to brand a product all the way to retail: there are those in the world willing to sacrifice you for something they want.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Wes Ishmael

      California Prop 2 On the Ballot Next Tuesday

Californians will vote next week on Proposition 2, which seeks to ban modern confinement housing for egg-laying hens, sows and veal calves. The proposition is strongly supported by animal rights and vegetarian groups. This week, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger urged a no vote on this proposal. The outcome of this proposition will influence national efforts concerning animal welfare issues.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent



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      Canada Approves E. coli O157:H7 Vaccine

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) has granted full licensing to an E. coli vaccine called Econiche, developed by Bioniche Life Sciences. The vaccine can now be used by Canadian cattle producers and veterinarians.

Bioniche says the vaccine works by preventing the E. coli O157:H7 organism from attaching to the intestines of vaccinated cattle, thereby reducing its reproduction within the animal and the amount of bacteria that can be shed.
Foodproductiondaily.com

      DHS Issues Supplemental “No-Match” Rule

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has issued a supplemental final rule that provides additional analysis and background on the no-match rule. “The additional information in this supplemental rule addresses the specific items raised by the court and we expect to be able to quickly implement it,” says DHS Secretary Michael Chertoff.

Implementation of the no-match rule has been stayed following a preliminary injunction issued by the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California last year. In the coming days, DHS will return to the court to request the injunction be lifted so implementation of the rule can proceed. Go to www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/ for more info.
-- DHS release

      Demand For DDGs In Mexico Could Quadruple

Mexico has the potential to increase its imports of dried distillers grains (DDGs) with solubles by four-fold, says Julio Hernandez, U.S. Grains Council director in Mexico and Central America.

Speaking at the International Distillers Grains Conference in Indianapolis, IN recently, Hernandez says Mexico currently is the No. 1 purchaser of U.S. DDGS, importing 708,000 metric tons in the 2007 calendar year. Canada follows with 317,580 tons last year.

In the first eight months of 2008, Mexico has already imported nearly 699,000 tons, with the potential in the foreseeable future to import as much as 4 million tons.

Hernandez calculates Mexico’s poultry industry will eventually import 1.1 million tons of DDGs, while the beef sector has the potential to use 1 million tons; dairy 890,000 tons; and swine 788,000 tons.
-- Southeast Farm Press

      Falling Gas/Diesel Prices Provide Some Good News

Energy continues to provide some welcome consumer news as the U.S. average price for regular gasoline and diesel continue to fall. For the week of Oct. 27, gasoline fell by 25.8¢ to $2.656/gal., while diesel shaved 19.4¢ to $3.288.

Gasoline has registered a cumulative drop nationally of $1.179/gal. since Sept. 15, which is 21.6¢ lower than a year ago. Average prices fell 25.4¢ on the East Coast ($2.684), 27.2¢ in the Midwest to $2.497, and 27.4¢ to $2.46 on the Gulf Coast. The Rocky Mountains dropped 27.8¢ to $2.762, and the West Coast slipped 22.5¢ to $3.05. California was down 22.5¢ to $3.13.

Diesel fell sharply nationwide for the lowest U.S. price since Feb. 11, but remained above last year in all regions but the West Coast. The East Coast slumped 15.6¢ to $3.397, the Midwest 20.3¢ to $3.244, the Gulf Coast 23.4¢ to $3.219, and the Rocky Mountains 18¢ to $3.375. The West Coast was down 20¢ to $3.233, and California cut 17.4¢ to $3.286/gal.
-- Energy Information Administration

      Food-Safety Legislation Will Be Priority Next Year

Food safety legislation is coming and the ag industry must get involved in shaping it, or risk over-regulation with little improvement for consumers, says Cathleen Enright, Western Growers Association, a fresh produce trade organization.

Enright says more than 30 bills are making their way through the U.S. Congress, some of which will serve consumers and ag better than others. She says consumer groups are demanding action from Washington in the wake of recent food scares, highlighted by sensational incidents such as salmonella in peppers and melamine in products from China.

The 30 or more bills in various stages of development in Congress that propose changes to food safety programs include:
  • Recognition of food safety responsibilities.
  • Improved oversight and certification with recall authority.
  • Standards and practices for producers, processors and retailers.
  • Traceability systems (electronic).
  • Improved ability to sample and detect.
In addition, Enright says mandatory recall authority “is coming. That’s not as scary as it sounds and will be used only if voluntary recall doesn’t work. Traceability is coming, too.”
Ron Smith, Farm Press

      Get The Most From Grazing Corn Stalks

Grazing corn stalks during winter has many benefits, most important of which is the savings in feed costs vs. feeding expensive hay. But the way you manage grazing of stalks can have a big effect on its success, says Bruce Anderson, University of Nebraska Extension forage specialist.

For instance, if your goal is to minimize feeding of protein supplement while winter grazing, you must ensure the stocking rate is light enough to allow cattle to select just the higher quality plant parts to eat. Then, when the grain and husks are gone, move to a fresh field, Anderson says.

Another strategy might be to stretch winter stalks as far as possible. In that case, restricting animal access to small areas at a time by strip grazing until nearly all the grazable stalks are gone might be best. Or perhaps you use stalks just as a filler to keep cows from bellowing while you limit-feed corn, distillers grains, or other nutrient-dense feeds. Then high stocking levels and unrestricted access might be best, he says.

“Whatever your strategy, consider carefully what kind of nutrition animals are getting from the stalk pasture so you neither underfeed nor overfeed expensive supplements. Be sure to provide salt, calcium, phosphorus and vitamin A free-choice at all times. And once all the grain is gone, cows need about 0.5 lb./day of an all-natural protein to meet nutrient needs,” Anderson points out.
-- Bruce Anderson, University of Nebraska Extension forage specialist

      Invest In Yourself; Attend The BEEF Quality Summit

No doubt about it, times are tough economically and the forces are rolling downward. This is the time to analyze the situation and put yourself in position to survive and prosper.

A good place to start is to attend next week’s third annual BEEF Quality Summit – Nov. 6-7 in Colorado Springs, CO. With the theme of “Quality – A Solution To Rising Costs,” the program features some of the nation's top experts providing participants with background and insight into the considerations, tools and practices that can help producers optimize beef quality as a competitive tactic in these challenging times.

Surveys of attendees of our previous two summits indicate that more than 95% found the programs of high value and would attend another one. This year's program is similarly deep and worthwhile but also extremely timely. Consider these session topics:
  • The long-term effects of rising costs on beef quality, demand and profit.
  • Making country-of-origin labeling work for you.
  • Producer perspectives on managing costs and product quality for profit.
  • A retail panel discussion on balancing beef quality and price in the retail meat case, and what consumers want.
  • A look at the benefits and acceptance of pharmaceutical technologies in beef production.
  • An industry and Washington Beltway look at what the results of the Nov. 4 national elections mean.
On top of that, a special evening program will introduce attendees to the producer winners of BEEF magazine's 2008 Trailblazer and National Stocker Award winners.

It adds up to 1½ days of thought-provoking discussion, plus a trade show, a breakfast, two lunches and a dinner, and it's all available for just a $150 registration fee. I hope you'll join us in Colorado Springs. To learn more and register, visit beefconference.com/ or call 1-800-722-5334, Ext. 14695.
-- Joe Roybal

      Manure Management Conference Set

Kansas State University will host a Livestock Manure Management Conference Nov. 18 in Garden City. The event starts with registration at 10 a.m. in the K-State Research and Extension Southwest Area Office in Garden City and the program begins at 10:30.

A live webcast will also be available. The advance registration fee of $15 includes lunch and is due by Nov. 11. The webcast fee is $20, $25 at the door. For registration info, go to www.asi.ksu.edu/manure. For info on the webcast, contact Chris Reinhardt at cdr3@ksu.edu or 785-532-1672.
-- Kansas State University release

      Meat Industry Illness/Injury Rates Lowest On Record

Meat industry injury and illness incidence rates now stand at the lowest level ever recorded, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics 2007 annual safety results. The animal slaughter and processing sector’s total industry recordable rate – cases per 100 full-time employees – dropped 7.7% in 2007. The injury and illness rates declined 3.2% in 2007. Meanwhile, the meat industry’s OSHA recordable rates have improved by 72 % since the industry adopted ergonomic guidelines in 1990.

According to the American Meat Institute, “These encouraging trends confirm that the meat industry’s decision to make worker safety a non-competitive issue and work cooperatively to enhance workplace safety has created measurable and meaningful workplace safety improvements.”
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

    South Dakota Couple Speaks Up For Agriculture

From the nightly television news to video streams via the Internet, one needn’t look far to find agriculture in the headlines.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Kindra Gordon

    Temple Grandin Talks About Her Upcoming HBO Biopic

Temple Grandin seems a bit embarrassed, but simultaneously flattered, by all the hullabaloo about her life and accomplishments. A world-renowned designer of livestock handling facilities, a professor of animal science at Colorado State University, and one of the world’s highest functioning autistics, the most recent chapter of her life is being written right now, or filmed to be more specific, in Austin, TX. The completed work – a biopic on her life and experiences over the decades of the 1960s and 1970s – is set to air next spring in a two-hour production on HBO.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Joe Roybal

      USDA Clarifies Comments On Ethanol Plant Loans

USDA clarified earlier comments by USDA Secretary Ed Schafer regarding the possibility of USDA loans to ethanol plants that have been hurt by high commodity prices. According to USDA, this isn’t a new program, nor was it created to help plants that made “bad investments” or a “bail out” for ethanol plants.

USDA could provide up to $25 million/company to refinance through a “guaranteed loan-type” program for operating capital. Loans of this type are available through USDA’s Business and Industry Loan Guarantee Program. Schafer says ethanol plants will be treated like than other ag company eligible to use the existing loan guarantee programs.

Representatives of the meat and livestock industries met with Schafer this week on his earlier announcement regarding ethanol plants.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      USDA Revises October Crop Forecasts

USDA revised its October acreage and production forecasts due to a discrepancy in the Farm Service Agency’s (FSA) database of crop acreage. The forecast for corn production is now projected to be 12.033 billion bu., down 1.4%, or 167 million bu. off the Oct. 10 forecast. Meanwhile, the forecast for soybeans is down 45 million bu. to 2.94 billion bu.

With these revised forecasts, the 2008 corn crop will be the second largest in history and the soybean crop will be the fourth largest.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

    Want To Build A Packing Plant? Think Again

I got a call the other day from a university researcher looking for information about the beef-packing industry. She said she was helping to put together a feasibility study for a producer group that wanted to build a packing plant that would process about 100 cattle/day. I provided some information about the size of the industry and number of plants. I also felt it might be of value to mention the difficulties of entering the business.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Steve Kay

      Washington Cattleman Sues Over COOL

A Washington State rancher and cattle feeder is suing USDA over mandatory country-of-origin labeling (COOL). Cody Easterday, president of Easterday Ranches of Pasco, WA, has filed suit in U.S. District Court in Spokane, claiming mandatory COOL adds to the cost for the U.S. beef industry and consumers and contradicts the North American Free Trade Agreement.

Labeling is a good idea, Easterday said, but it’s implemented wrongly, particularly as it relates to the beef industry. USDA declined to discuss the claims, citing the pending lawsuit.
-- Yakima Herald Republic

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