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BEEF'S COW CALF WEEKLY    November 7, 2008  |  A PENTON MEDIA PUBLICATION
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    Table Of Contents
> Is Recent Past Indicative Of Times To Come?
> Election Of Obama May Not Be Most Pertinent Result
> Some Thoughts On The Obama Era
> ADM Makes $500 Million Investment In Brazil
> All Members Of Ag Committees Re-Elected Or Leading
> CAFO Rules For Manure Management
> Canada Works To Regain Access To Korean Beef Market
> Democrats Make Congressional Election Gains
> Dole, McGovern Receive World Food Prize
> Environmental Stewards Highlighted In USA Today
> Florida’s Mike Milicevic Is 2008 BEEF Trailblazer
> Gasoline Prices In All Regions Continue Down
> Last Chance For Sign-Ups For BEEF Trip To Brazil
> New Cattle Reproduction Online Course Available
> Obama Wins Decisively; Will Be 44th U.S. President
> Obama Wins Election; How Will He Lead?
> Packers Speak Up About Industry
> Phenomics – Selection Tool Of The Future
> Van Dorn Named GIPSA Administrator
> Voters Approve Animal Welfare Initiative

    Our Perspective
      Is Recent Past Indicative Of Times To Come?

Economic turmoil has translated into more supplies and less demand for livestock production. Gregg Doud, chief economist for the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, points out that exchange rates, interest rates and the crude oil and stock markets are all negatively impacting the livestock industry. He goes on to point out that this has been especially problematic for cow-calf producers, who typically market the majority of their calf crop in the fall, right when all of these factors turned negative.

Wholesale beef demand has been affected by plummeting consumer confidence, which has led to people eating out less. Plus, a strengthening dollar has hurt beef exports, as well as pork exports to China, which has led to the inauspicious convergence of decreasing demand and increasing supplies.

Both domestically and internationally, our customers have seen their purchasing power decrease. That alone is likely to override what appeared to be essentially bullish factors not so long ago.
Troy Marshall



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    Election Of Obama May Not Be Most Pertinent Result

While it’s human nature to focus on returns of the presidential and congressional elections, the factor that might be the most concerning following the Nov. 4 balloting was California ballot initiative Proposition 2. The proposition, which won’t become law until 2015, requires that all farm animals, "for all or the majority of any day,"not be confined or tethered in a manner that prevents an animal from lying down, standing up, turning around or extending its limbs without touching another animal or an enclosure such as a cage or stall.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall

    Some Thoughts On The Obama Era

The American people have spoken, and they’ve chosen change. I’ve always had faith in the American people, so I’m looking forward to the new Obama administration with hope rather than despair, anticipating unity rather than division, and good change vs. the status quo.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall

   
      ADM Makes $500 Million Investment In Brazil

Brazil’s Grupo Cabrera announced this week that Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is investing US$500 million into a joint ethanol venture that will produce 70-90 million gals. of ethanol annually.

For ADM, a dominant players in the U.S. corn-based ethanol market of the U.S., a movement into sugar-based ethanol is a natural extension. Plus, the timing would appear to be perfect, given the current glut of sugar in Brazil as a result of a downturn in exports caused by the global financial crisis. Brazil is the world’s largest producer of sugar.
-- Muriel Elizabeth Hayes



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      All Members Of Ag Committees Re-Elected Or Leading

Senate: At press time, all members of the Senate Ag Committee were re-elected or leading. Sen. Norm Coleman (R-MN) was leading by less than 500 votes, which becomes an automatic recount in Minnesota. Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), ranking member of the Senate Ag Committee, was leading and close to securing 50%. Under Georgia law, if he fails to receive 50%, Chambliss will face a run-off election.

House: Seven members of the House Ag Committee were defeated: Nancy Boyda (D-KS), Robin Hayes (R-NC), John Kuhl (R-NY), Nick Lampson (D-TX), Tim Mahoney (D-FL), Marilyn Musgrave (R-CO), and Tim Walberg (R-MI). Hayes served as ranking member of the House Ag Livestock Subcommittee and was a good friend of the meat and livestock industries.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      CAFO Rules For Manure Management

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced final rules concerning concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFO).

According to EPA, the “new regulation of animal feedlots sets a strong national standard for pollution prevention and environmental protection, while maintaining our country’s economic and agricultural competitiveness. This clean water rule strengthens environmental safeguards by embracing a zero discharge standard and requiring site-specific management plans to prevent runoff of excess nutrients into our nation’s waters.”

Under the new rule, a CAFO operator will be required to use a nutrient management plan for manure and it must be submitted as part of a CAFO’s Clean Water Act permit application.

The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association said the rule “contains substantial improvements in water quality protection, and may improve water quality as a result. We are encouraged that the rule includes a number of incentives for livestock farms to operate at high levels of environmental compliance. A positive aspect is that livestock farmers will have flexibility to evaluate their farm and determine whether or not to secure a permit.”

The National Pork Producers Council (NPPC) said the new CAFO regulation is a “tough but fair rule and sets a standard that the U.S. pork industry has been and will continue living up to. Pork producers are ready to comply with the new regulations.”
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Canada Works To Regain Access To Korean Beef Market

After a series of very successful talks this week between South Korea’s Ministry of Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, and the government of Canada, South Korea has agreed to send inspectors to Canada later this month to inspect the beef export plants. Exports will then be allowed to resume to Korea, with beef from cattle aged 30 months and younger. South Korea banned Canadian beef in 2003.
-- Muriel Elizabeth Hayes



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      Democrats Make Congressional Election Gains

The Democrats increased their hold on Congress by picking up five Senate seats and close to 20 House seats.

Senate: The Democrats gained five Senate seats by winning Colorado, New Hampshire, North Carolina, New Mexico and Virginia. Three races that may go to recounts include Alaska, Minnesota and Oregon. If Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK) survives the election, he’ll likely face a vote to remove him from the Senate since he was found guilty in his recent ethics trial.

House: The Democrats are expected to gain around 20 House seats. With the Democrats gaining seats in the last two elections, there could be challenges to the House Republican leadership. Already, Rep. Adam Putnam (R-FL) has announced he will resign as chairman of the House Republican conference.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Dole, McGovern Receive World Food Prize

Former U.S. Senators Bob Dole (R-KS) and George McGovern (D-SD) have been named 2008 World Food Prize Laureates, cited for their work in “reviving and strengthening global school feeding, nutrition and education programs.”

The award, which carries a $250,000 prize, honors outstanding individuals who have made vital contributions to improving the quality, quantity or availability of food throughout the world. The award was established by Norman Borlaug, winner of the 1970 Nobel Peace Prize.

Both McGovern and Dole ran unsuccessfully for U.S. president and are better known for things besides launching a program that has provided more than 22 million meals to children in 41 countries. Both highly decorated combat veterans of World War II, the men were credited for the bipartisan support needed to push their McGovern-Dole International Food for Education and Nutrition Program through Congress in 2000.

During the World Food Prize ceremony at the Iowa State Capitol, Dole ended his brief remarks by reciting the poem, “The Dash,” which describes the importance of the years of a person’s life represented by the dash between the dates of their birth and their death.

McGovern burst into a verse of "Jesus Loves the Little Children” with many in the audience of more than 700 softly singing along.

“The beautiful thing about the hunger issue is that it is soluble,” McGovern said. “I used to think that it didn’t matter how long a person lived. Now that I've lived to be 86, I no longer agree with that. But I hope to live long enough to see every schoolchild in the world fed.”

The McGovern-Dole Program has spurred increased commitments from donor countries for school feeding and has renewed support from development leaders. The success of the program has led to dramatically increased international support for the expansion of school-feeding operations in developing countries around the world.

“Senators McGovern and Dole are tireless champions in the battle against hunger, and are an enormous inspiration,” said Josette Sheeran, executive director of the World Food Program. "They have given millions of children a chance to dream – and to live healthy lives – through school feeding.”
-- Forrest Laws, Farm Press

      Environmental Stewards Highlighted In USA Today

Environmental Stewardship Award recipients were highlighted in an article about sustainable farming in the Oct. 23 issue of USA Today. The award is managed by the National Cattlemen's Foundation and sponsored by Dow AgroSciences, the Natural Resources Conservation Service and the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service. It annually recognizes the outstanding stewardship practices and conservation achievements of cattle producers from across the U.S., awarding regional winners and one national winner.

The USA Today article wrote about Eldora, IA cattleman Dave Petty, whose Iowa River Ranch won the 2001 national award; Scott Stone, who's family cattle ranch in Woodland, CA, won the 2007 national award; and Lydia Yon, whose family farm in Ridge Spring, SC, won the 2008 Region II award. Lydia sums up her operation -- and the award -- when she tells USA Today, “What’s good for us from a business standpoint and at the same time is good for the environment is not something we do because we have to, but because we want to.”
-- National Cattlemen’s Beef Association update



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      Florida’s Mike Milicevic Is 2008 BEEF Trailblazer

Sponsored by John Deere, the BEEF Trailblazer Award is bestowed annually by BEEF editors to an industry individual or group whose volunteer contributions and farsighted leadership were instrumental in pushing forward significant research, programs or projects that benefited the industry and improved the production and profit environment for U.S. beef producers. This is the award’s 15th year.

This year’s honoree is Mike Milicevic, general manager of Lykes Bros. Ranch in Okeechobee, FL. Milicevic was selected for his decade-long leadership efforts in developing a “Water Quality Best Management Practices Manual” for the state of Florida. The manual is a unique consensus document between Florida cattle producers, state regulatory agencies and academia. It outlines commonsense, economically and technically feasible production and management practices that enhance and protect Florida’s water resources.

To watch a short video on Milicevic and Lykes Bros. Ranch, go to: beefmagazine.com/beeftv/trailblazer08-mike-milicevic/.

To read the November issue cover story, go to: beefmagazine.com/people/award-winners/1101-milicevic-leads-regulations/.
-- Joe Roybal

      Gasoline Prices In All Regions Continue Down

The U.S. average price for regular gasoline fell another 25.6¢ to hit $2.40/gal. for the week ending Nov. 3. Meanwhile, the U.S. average price for diesel dropped 20¢ to $3.088/gal., the lowest since Oct. 15, 2007.

Over the past seven weeks, the U.S. average price for regular gasoline has plunged $1.435/gal., and $1.714 off the all-time high of July 7. Prices for the week slumped 23.5¢ to $2.449 on the East Coast, while the Midwest tumbled 26¢ to $2.237, the Gulf Coast 23.2¢ to $2.228, the Rocky Mountains 28¢ to $2.482, and the West Coast 31¢ to $2.74. California fell 34.7¢ to $2.783/gal.

Since diesel set its all-time high of $4.764/gal. on July 14, it’s plunged a total of $1.676. The East Coast dropped 17.8¢ to $3.219, while the Midwest fell 22.6¢ at $3.018. The Gulf Coast slipped 18.6¢ `to $3.033, the Rocky Mountains 21.8¢ to $3.157, and the West Coast 18.1¢ to $3.052. California was down 22.9¢ to $3.057/gal.
-- U.S. Energy Information Administration

      Last Chance For Sign-Ups For BEEF Trip To Brazil

The largest country in South America, Brazil is an ag powerhouse. It is the world's top exporter of beef, broilers, soybeans, coffee, orange juice and sugar. And despite being locked out of more than half of the world's beef-importing counties, including South Korea and Japan (due to foot-and-mouth disease), Brazil still accounts for almost a third of the world's beef exports.

Brazil boasts a national cattle herd of 183 million head and projections indicate a herd of 230 million head by 2015. The cattle are predominantly Nelore and Brahman with crossbreeding being encouraged with Hereford, Angus and Simmental to improve meat quality and growth rates.

Now, you can get a firsthand look at this agricultural dynamo that is Brazil. BEEF magazine is again teaming up with the Montana State University Beef Quality Assurance (BQA) Program to provide another BEEF Study tour of Brazil. The tour is set for Jan. 15-26, 2009, departing the U.S. from New York, NY.

“In today's global marketplace cattlemen need to know what the competition is up to and how they're doing it,” says Clint Peck, Billings, MT, Montana BQA director and a tour escort. “We've developed an itinerary that will give beef producers around the U.S. the best possible look at Brazil's beef systems and assess their strengths and weaknesses as competitors in international markets.”

Tour participants will experience a variety of cattle ranching and feeding operations in Brazil's west-central region, an area of subtropical cattle farming. Highlights include a two-night stay at a working family ranch that caters to guests and tour groups. Among the other stops will be a federal beef cattle research center and a high-tech cattle seedstock operation.

“Beyond learning about the challenges and opportunities facing Brazilian ranchers, we'll interact with local farming families, experiencing their day-to-day lifestyles,” Peck adds. “South Americans are very gracious hosts and fully enjoy their American guests.”

Mixed with the ag settings are world-class tourist sites like the Brazilian Pantanal and Bonito Springs — and two nights in Rio de Janiero.

To view an itinerary, go to: beefmagazine.com/south-america-tour/schedule/. The estimated 20-person tour price is $4,995/person (double room). A visa is also required for Brazil entry, estimated at $165 for visa and visa-service fees. Deadline for bookings is next week.

Send your registration to: Brazilian Liaison, P.O. Box 243, Long Lake, MN 55356-9444. For more info, contact Clint Peck at 406-896-9068 (cpeck@montana.edu); or Renata Stephens at 763-972-8080 (Renata@BrazilianLiaison.com).
-- Joe Roybal

      New Cattle Reproduction Online Course Available

The third course in a series on cattle reproduction is available on the Cattle Learning Center website, www.cattlelearningcenter.org, or by calling 800-525-3085. The course is called Prevention Programs and Technologies to Improve Reproductive Performance.

The session costs $15 for National Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA) members and $25 for non-members. CDs of the course are also available. The first two courses in the series, How to Get Cows Pregnant and Economics of Reproduction are available for $15 each, or get all three for $30 for members ($45 for non-members). CDs are available.
-- NCBA release

      Obama Wins Decisively; Will Be 44th U.S. President

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) was elected the 44th President of the U.S. in a decisive victory. Obama carried a number of key swing states including Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Nevada, New Mexico, Ohio and Virginia. This is the first time since 1964 that a Democratic candidate for President has carried Indiana and Virginia.

Key voting blocks for Obama were voters between ages 18-29 (66%); blacks (96%); Hispanics (65%); and single women. He also made inroads into Catholic voters and male voters. Obama also made inroads into rural areas either by carrying rural counties or narrowing the margin compared to 2004.

We can expect that President-elect Obama will move quickly with his transition, economic and national security teams.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

    Obama Wins Election; How Will He Lead?

Like the final scene from a Rocky movie where the two slogging combatants stand battered and exhausted as one teeters toward the canvas, the 2008 presidential election has finally and mercifully drawn to a close. Congratulations are in order to Democrat Barack Obama for his historic achievement.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Joe Roybal

      Packers Speak Up About Industry

It’s one of the basic, fundamental operatives in running a business; always has been. But if you want to be successful in the meat business, you have to listen to the consumer, says John Keating, business unit leader for Cargill Beef North America.

Adds Wesley Batista, president and CEO of JBS-Swift and Co. and the country’s newest cattle feeder, watch your spread and pay attention to the margin, regardless of whether you’re feeding cattle or processing them.

And looking down the road, Jim Lochner, senior group vice president with Tyson Fresh Meats, says the industry has to get consumption up.

The three were on the hot seat this week at the annual convention of the Texas Cattle Feeders Association, participating in a packer panel in front of an audience that had intense interest in what they had to say.

All three said keeping product moving through the pipeline is essential, both domestically and internationally. Even short-term hiccups in product movement, they said, can quickly turn into major heartburn.

According to Batista, branded programs will continue to be important to cattle producers and processors alike, as will consumer convenience in the products that are pushed out the back door. “That will be our focus at Five Rivers (feedyards), to produce to the consumer.”

Lochner posed it this way: “Should we,” he asked cattle feeders, “start to think about how we grow animals to target different market segments?”

He thinks a good place to start is tightening the wide variation in carcass weights that come down the line in a packing plant. “Having a carcass weight of 825 lbs. doesn’t bother me. Having a standard deviation of 150 lbs. does. If we can get that standard deviation down to 50 lbs, it will help.”
-- Burt Rutherford

    Phenomics – Selection Tool Of The Future

Open the catalog from your favorite genetics supplier and what do you see? Outside of the pretty pictures, you see numbers. Lots and lots of numbers.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Burt Rutherford

      Van Dorn Named GIPSA Administrator

Terry Van Doren has been named USDA Administrator of the Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA). Van Doren currently serves as a senior advisor to Bruce Knight, USDA Under Secretary for Marketing and Regulatory Programs. He earlier served as the ag advisor to Senators Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Peter Fitzgerald (R-IL). Van Doren is a native of Illinois.
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

      Voters Approve Animal Welfare Initiative

California voters approved by more than 60% the referendum that would ban modern confinement housing for egg-laying hens, sows and veal calves by 2015. The measure passed despite editorial opposition from major California daily newspapers and Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Arizona, Colorado, Florida and Oregon have passed similar legislation for swine and veal. This vote will have a major influence on animal welfare issues in the 111th Congress.

For reaction from the Animal Agriculture Alliance, click here:
-- P. Scott Shearer, Washington, D.C. correspondent

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