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BEEF'S COW CALF WEEKLY    December 31, 2010  |  A PENTON MEDIA PUBLICATION
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    Table Of Contents
> Opinion: Prices We Didn't Expect To See
> Ten Things To Look For In 2011
> Opinion: Will 2011 Bring A More Amiable Industry?
> Beef Cattle Short Course Series Set For January
> Does Testing Cut BVDV Prevalence?
> Early Christmas Came To Landowners
> FDA Seeks Voluntary Withdrawal Of Antibiotics
> Five Security Tips For Your Farm Or Feedlot
> Grocery Coupons – On The Spot – Are Coming
> Horse Rescue Facilities Overwhelmed, Underfunded
> Major Changes Predicted For Restaurant Industry In 2011
> North Dakota Ponders Animal-Cruelty Legislation
> Nutrition Label Regulations Positive For Beef
> Opinion: Ag Needs To Work On Image Improvement
> Prepare Before Calving Season Begins
> Ranchers Tell Of Utilizing Snow For Livestock Water
> South Korea Locks Down Its Livestock Markets
> WOW! $107 For Fed Cattle
> Webinar Looks At Forces Behind Rising Farmland Prices
> What FDA Does And Does Not Regulate
> While Price Outlook Is Great, Industry Could Suffer

    Our Perspective
      Opinion: Prices We Didn't Expect To See

Some words and terms simply don’t go together – words like cerebral and all-star wrestler, heavy-muscled and Jersey cow, or thin and show heifer. I’ve been following the market for quite some time and two terms that simply don’t go together in that arena are $200 and per-hundredweight; still, we've seen some three-weight calves bring $2/lb. in the last couple of weeks.

I’ve always gotten a little nervous when people start talking about new price ranges, and never seeing certain price levels again. Still, it's mindboggling to think that it wasn’t that long ago when we were talking about $100/cwt. five-weight steers and thinking that wasn’t too bad of a price. Now we're thinking $1.50 is a range that’s a whole lot more likely. That's a 50% increase in fairly short order!

While you can’t find a cow-calf guy complaining about recent price levels being too high, those price increases have translated into higher bred-female and bull markets as well. Already this year, we've seen that producers can expect an extra $500 to $1,000 in bull costs, for example.

It's ironic that while I’ve been a sharp critic of ethanol subsidies from both a philosophical and economic standpoint, today’s price ranges probably wouldn't be possible without ethanol subsidies. The higher grain prices brought to us courtesy of the subsidies fueled a lack of profitability and fairly sharp liquidation in our industry, which correspondingly brought higher prices. There may be fewer calves and fewer cattlemen but the smaller industry appears to be positioned for some pretty good times as we overshot the mark a little.

Just like writing "2011" on my upcoming checks, it will take me some time to get used to these new price levels. But I have to admit that I like the sound of $150/cwt. six-weights and $200/cwt. three-weights.
-- Troy Marshall



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      Ten Things To Look For In 2011

    1. Record cattle prices and higher prices on nearly every class of cattle.

    2. Lots of talk of expansion (will weather patterns and higher prices for feeder heifers allow expansion to begin?)

    3. Increased export demand – as market-access issues continue to improve, the value of the U.S. dollar declines, and consumer confidence grows.

    4. Renewed pressure on obesity (thanks to Obama Care).

    5. An improving economy and lingering questions about whether the message of the last election registered with politicians. Or, will increased regulation and out-of-control spending continue?

    6. Animal welfare issues will continue to increase.

    7. The final GIPSA rule will be issued, either resulting in insignificant changes or a complete rejection of the value-based marketing revolution and a return to commodity production rules.

    8. Washington, D.C. will continue to expand its reach, while the world views of those inside and outside the beltway continue to diverge.

    9. Higher input costs with energy and feed-grain prices being key drivers.

    10. Higher prices will cause a shift away from value creation and toward risk management.
-- Troy Marshall

    Opinion: Will 2011 Bring A More Amiable Industry?

Many industry leaders can be heard commenting these days about how nice it would be if the industry would focus on important issues and quit wasting valuable political capital and time fighting among themselves. Nobody can argue about the validity of this line of thinking, but honestly I don’t see it happening.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Troy Marshall



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      Beef Cattle Short Course Series Set For January

Texas AgriLife Extension Service and Bexar Beef Cattle Committee will present the free 2011 South Texas Beef Cattle Short Course at Palo Alto Community College in San Antonio during three consecutive Thursday evenings in January.

Designed to present a comprehensive overview on issues affecting the production and management of beef cattle, course sessions will be from 6:30-8:30 p.m. on Jan. 13, 20 and 27. Registration is at 6 p.m. each evening, with sessions beginning at 6:30 p.m.

Pre-registration, which is required, can be accomplished by contacting Angel Torres at 210-467-6575 or matorres@ag.tamu.edu.
-- Texas AgriLife Extension Service release

      Does Testing Cut BVDV Prevalence?

Does testing cut prevalence of bovine viral diarrhea virus (BVDV)? It’s hard to say with any certainty, but data from the National Animal Health Monitoring System (NAHMS) would indicate it doesn’t hurt. NAHMS, a part of USDA’s Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS), periodically studies health issues related to various animal species.

In its latest study on the cow-calf sector, researchers found a 10.7% prevalence in operations that hadn’t tested for BVDV persistent infection (PI) during the previous three years. On the other hand, no BVDV PI positive operations were found when herds had been tested during the previous three years.

“Although this doesn’t suggest testing performs perfectly in eliminating BVDV PI, it is supportive of the effectiveness of BVDV testing,” the report concludes.

The NAHMS study found that vaccination is the most commonly practiced intervention against BVDV PI. However, very few operations engaged in any biosecurity efforts to prevent BVDV from infecting their herds.

“Fewer than one of four operations (23.8%) gave a BVDV booster to cows,” the report says. “Most operations don’t vaccinate breeding females for BVDV, potentially leaving them more vulnerable to BVDV exposure.”

In addition to vaccinations, management practices such as quarantine and testing of cattle brought onto the operation are necessary to prevent diseases from BVDV. “Most operations quarantined none of the new cattle brought onto the operation during the previous 12 months, and very few tested any calves for BVDV PI during the previous three years,” the report says.

“Vaccinations can clearly provide protection against introducing BVDV infection into the herd. However, with low levels of testing, no quarantine of incoming cattle, and modest vaccination levels, it appears many operations have no biosecurity and biocontainment plan for BVDV.”

For more info, go to www.aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/nahms/index.shtml
-- Burt Rutherford



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      Early Christmas Came To Landowners

Private landowners – and especially family farmers and ranchers – received an early Christmas gift as the beneficiaries of a renewed federal tax incentive for conservation easements in effect through Dec. 31, 2011 and retroactive to Jan. 1, 2010.

The incentive, which expired at the end of 2009, has helped the Wyoming Stock Growers Agricultural Land Trust work with Wyoming landowners to conserve 148,000 acres of ag land and natural resources. The reinstated incentive will cover any conservation easements donated in 2010 through 2011.

The renewal of tax incentives for conservation will aid in the protection of millions of acres of the nation’s ag lands and open spaces. These incentives allow modest-income landowners to receive significant tax savings for donating conservation easements that permanently protect important natural resources on their lands.

When landowners donate conservation easements to a land trust such as the Stock Growers Ag Land Trust, they maintain ownership and management of their land and can pass the land on to their heirs, while foregoing their rights to develop the land. In doing so, the value of their property is reduced, which can help families with estate planning or enable ranch sales to other working ranchers.

The enhanced incentive, which applies to a landowner’s federal income tax:
  • Raises the deduction a donor can take for donating a voluntary conservation agreement from 30% of their income in any year to 50%;
  • Allows landowners who earn more than 50% of their income from farming and ranching to use a conservation easement deduction against 100% of their income; and
  • Increases the number of years over which a donor can claim a deduction from six to 16 years.
-- Wyoming Stock Growers Agricultural Land Trust release

      FDA Seeks Voluntary Withdrawal Of Antibiotics

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is trying to get pharmaceutical companies to voluntarily stop providing antibiotics to promote livestock growth, reports the Des Moines Register. In a recent meeting with consumer advocates, FDA revealed it’s negotiating with one company to remove growth promotion as a labeled use for one antibiotic, the article says.

The Obama administration earlier this year proposed to phase out the use of antibiotics for growth promotion in livestock over concerns that such usage leads to increased prevalence of drug-resistant bacteria that threaten human health. FDA officials told the consumer advocates it prefers a voluntary approach over the lengthy legal process of restricting the drugs' use, says Steve Roach of Food Animals Concerns Trust. The agency "seemed quite confident that some company was getting close to doing something," he says.

FDA spokeswoman Siobhan DeLancey declined to comment on the discussions with drug makers beyond saying that the agency "indicated we wanted to work with companies, veterinarians and the industry to minimize use of medically important antimicrobials."

Some doubt whether the agency has sufficient scientific basis to force the companies to ban the growth-promotion uses, says Ron Phillips, vice president of legislative and public affairs for the Animal Health Institute, a trade group for the drug makers. But the FDA is still "pursing this diligently. They would like to continue to see progress made on this," Phillips says.
-- Des Moines Register

    Five Security Tips For Your Farm Or Feedlot

Today, America's food producers are under attack. Extremists are attempting to use emotional images and scare tactics to discourage Americans from eating meat, milk and eggs because they do not believe that we have that right, according to the Animal Ag Alliance (AAA).
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this release by Animal Ag Alliance

      Grocery Coupons – On The Spot – Are Coming

Technology, it seems, reaches into every aspect of our lives. Now, it can even find you while you shop the aisles of your favorite grocery store, according to Randall Stross, San Jose State University professor of business.

What if manufacturers could make coupon offers on the spot, as you stood in the aisle, within sight of the promoted product? Your cell phone would identify your shopping predilections, allowing the manufacturer to withhold the offer if you were likely to buy the product anyway. The offer could go exclusively to those who just needed a little nudge, Stross writes in the New York Times.

The possibility isn’t a distant one. Point Inside, a mobile technology company in Bellevue, WA, has been testing still-incomplete technology for determining where shoppers are standing in grocery stores and big-box retailers. The goal is to determine accurate locations to within one meter.

Current smartphone technology uses GPS and WiFi to find locations, but they are generally accurate only to within 30 meters or so, says Joshua L. Marti, Point Inside’s CEO. And GPS loses accuracy as it penetrates walls. To build a system that will eventually solve this problem, Point Inside is relying on other means, like a geotagged reference point outside the store. It then uses AutoCAD software to create a detailed interior map of the store, assigning latitude and longitude to every aisle position.

The next technological challenge is geotagging the shoppers themselves. Next year, Marti expects the arrival of smartphones capable of serving as highly accurate, multidirectional pedometers. By knowing the exact latitude and longitude of the store’s door, then using the phone to track how many steps a shopper takes in which directions, the shopper’s current location can always be known. The vision fulfilled: Coupons sent to the phone for products within an arm’s reach.
-- New York Times

    Horse Rescue Facilities Overwhelmed, Underfunded

The dire predictions made in 2007 when the last horse slaughter plant in the U.S. was forced to close appear to have come true, according to research at University of California-Davis School of Veterinary Medicine.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Burt Rutherford

      Major Changes Predicted For Restaurant Industry In 2011

As the nation begins to emerge from recession, changes are on the way for the restaurant industry in 2011, according to Technomic, a leading foodservice research and consulting firm.

As federal menu labeling requirements take effect, Technomic says to look for more items and detailed descriptions on “healthy” menus – including gluten-free fare as well as more “under x calories” items.

Also expect to see more high-end restaurants and more ultra-niche eateries with narrowly focused menus and high-concept ambiance. Meanwhile, the middle class is expected to gravitate to reasonably priced but high-experience-value, thrill-a-minute concepts with memorable menus and consumers will continue to demand price deals everywhere they eat.

Technomic predicts limited-time offers (including seasonal fare) will trend up and “eating a little better” will translate into menu modifications such as slightly-lower-sodium, slightly-more-glamorous sea salt.

Regarding menu items, Technomic says the Korean taco signals the rise of Korean barbecue and Korean food in general. Demand for comfort food is expected, Technomic says.

For more information, go to www.technomic.com.
-- American Meat Institute

      North Dakota Ponders Animal-Cruelty Legislation

Spurred by recent high-profile incidents of animal cruelty and criticism from national animal advocacy groups, State Rep. Cory Mock of Grand Forks and state prosecutors are drafting legislation that could give North Dakota its first felony penalties for “egregious” animal cruelty.

The North Dakota State’s Attorneys Association is drafting a bill after consulting with the state stockmen’s association and other ranch and farm organizations. Julie Ellingson, North Dakota Stockmen’s Association (NDSA) executive vice president, says NDSA has been involved in the state’s attorneys drafting of a bill along with other farm and ranch groups and animal shelters.

“We’re pleased to have a chance to help shape that legislation with other people who have the best interests of animals at heart,” she says. “We want to make sure that any language drafted would find a balance and … doesn’t unintentionally target animal agriculture.”

Mock says he’s working with legislative colleagues, NDSA, the North Dakota Farmers Union and other groups to ensure all concerns are aired out. “We don’t want to place the agriculture community in a situation where they may be hurt – like a rancher arrested because his border collie is nipping at the heels of his cattle,” he says.

Mock says he believes the legislature, which convenes next month in Bismarck, will consider raising the penalty for “egregious” animal cruelty from a Class A misdemeanor to a Class C felony.

Ellingson says NDSA will continue to monitor proposed legislation on animal abuse and cruelty. “Farmers and ranchers take great pride in how we take care of our animals. It’s how we make our living. But we have a different view of animal rights than some of the anti-animal agriculture activists. We don’t want to give them a loophole (to place new restrictions on the handling of farm and ranch animals),” she says.
-- Grand Forks, ND Herald

    Nutrition Label Regulations Positive For Beef

USDA has been busy in the last weeks of 2010. Planning meetings have been set for regulatory changes, proposals have been made for voluntary restrictions of growth promoting antibiotics and newest to the list is the new label requirements for meat and poultry.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Jamie May

      Opinion: Ag Needs To Work On Image Improvement

It appears agriculture still has work to do in the new year. A recent survey released by ZimmPoll shows that more than 73% of respondents thought the consumer’s general perception of ag has grown worse or remained the same in 2010.

This comes at a time when some might feel that ag is getting a break; after all, groups like the Humane Society of the U.S. are under wider scrutiny and some positive media continues to surface about the beef industry. Yet, only 27% of respondents thought ag’s public perception improved in 2010 and 30% argued it had deteriorated.

The survey seems to confirm that the latest trends in advocacy and transparency need to continue to grow and that the quest for consumer and public approval can only be strengthened. Hopefully it serves as a reminder that as the new year approaches, we need to resolve to work even harder to reduce those negative ratings and improve our industry’s image in 2011.

See the results at agwired.com/2010/12/29/work-needs-to-be-done-on-consumer-perception-of-ag
-- Jamie May

      Prepare Before Calving Season Begins

Before the spring calving season gets started, now’s a good time to make the necessary preparations that will come in handy when the first heifer needs help in the middle of the night. Here are some tips from Glenn Selk, Oklahoma State University (OSU) Extension cattle reproduction specialist, and Dave Sparks, DVM, area food animal quality and health specialist.

  • Equipment: Before calving season starts, do a walkthrough of pens, chutes and calving stalls; make sure all are clean, dry, strong, safe and functioning correctly. This is a lot easier to do on a sunny afternoon than on a cold dark night when you need them.

  • Protocol: Before calving season starts, develop a plan of what to do, when to do it, who to call for help (along with phone numbers), and how to know when you need help. Make sure all family members or helpers are familiar with the plan. It may help to write it out and post copies in convenient places.

    Talk to the local veterinarian about the protocol and incorporate his/her suggestions. Your veterinarian will be a lot more helpful when you have an emergency during the kids’ school program if you have talked a few times during regular hours.

  • Lubrication: Purchase or locate lubricants to use on the obstetrical sleeves. Many different lubricants have been used and one of the best lubricants is probably the simplest – non-detergent soap and warm water.

  • Supplies: The stockman should always have the following in his medicine chest: disposable obstetrical sleeves, non-irritant antiseptic, lubricant, obstetrical chains (60 in. and/or two, 30-in. chains), two obstetrical handles, mechanical calf pullers, and injectable antibiotics. Don’t forget the simple things like a good flashlight with extra batteries and some old towels or a roll of paper towels. It may be helpful for you to have all these things and other items you may want to include packed into a 5-gal. bucket to make up an obstetrical kit so you can grab everything at once.
These and other ideas are covered in a new OSU Extension publication, “Calving Time Management for Beef Cows and Heifers” (E-1006).
-- OSU “Cow-Calf Corner”

    Ranchers Tell Of Utilizing Snow For Livestock Water

South Dakota ranchers Reuben and Connee Quinn have relied on snow in winter pastures for more than 30 years. They say cattle do well with snow as their only water source if they know how to use it and have adequate snow that’s not crusted and hard.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Heather Smith Thomas

      South Korea Locks Down Its Livestock Markets

South Korea has raised its foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) alert to the highest level, culling and burying 480,000 pigs, sheep and cattle, and vaccinating livestock to contain a fast-spreading outbreak of the disease.

FMD has prompted authorities to shut down all livestock markets in the country, leading to a rise in the wholesale price of beef and pork and a possible rise in exports from the U.S., Australia and New Zealand.

“The disease is rapidly spreading in several regions simultaneously, and we are concerned of a possible spreading to unaffected areas,” the Ministry for Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries said in a statement on Wednesday. The government raised the alert of “watch” to “seriousness,” the highest level, and has set up a central disaster center led by Agriculture Minister Yoo Jeong Bok.
-- Reuters

      WOW! $107 For Fed Cattle

Cash-cattle trade happened on Wednesday again this week in Texas and Oklahoma. And for the second week in a row, the trend was up—sharply up.

The Texas Cattle Feeders Association reports in its daily recap of cattle prices that 17,612 cattle sold for $107 Wednesday, $3 higher than last week and easily the high of the year. In fact, the only prices that have been reported higher were a smaller number of cattle in the fall of 2003 at $110.

Meanwhile, fed cattle fetched $106 in Kansas on an estimated volume of 40,000 and fed cattle sold in Nebraska at $106 as well.

The price strength continued into the wholesale market, as boxed-beef prices finished strong on Wednesday. Choice beef finished at $162.82, up $1.55. Select beef was up $1.67 at $156.44. USDA reported weekly net export sales of beef were 17,700 mt.

Market watchers say tight supplies of market-ready cattle and higher beef prices encouraged the higher prices. Many of the sales yesterday were with a two-week delivery clause. The normal delivery period is one week.

For more, go to www.quinstarradio.net/CashCattlePricesTCFA12292010
-- Ron Hays, Radio Oklahoma Network and other media reports

      Webinar Looks At Forces Behind Rising Farmland Prices

Farmland prices continue to defy economic forces that are pulling down other real estate values. A panel of Purdue University experts will discuss what factors are behind the steady rise in farmland values during a free webinar set for 1-2 p.m. EST on Jan. 10.

To register, visit the webinar home page at www.agecon.purdue.edu/commercialag/progevents/landvalueswebinar, click on the "Register Now!" link in the "Registration Information" box and complete the online registration form.

The panel includes ag economists Mike Boehlje, Craig Dobbins, Brent Gloy and Chris Hurt; and Bruce Erickson, Purdue's director of cropping systems management.

Webinar panelists won't attempt to predict future farmland values but will discuss the forces driving prices higher and the events that could keep moving them up or down. Among those forces are farm income, interest rates, development potential and inflation, Boehlje says.

"Institutional and outside investors view farmland as a pretty good portfolio asset," he says.

Boehlje, Dobbins, Gloy and Hurt outline farmland price drivers in their paper, "Farmland Values: Current and Future Prospects." It can be downloaded from the webinar home page, and webinar viewers are encouraged to read the paper before the event.

Those unable to view the Jan. 10 program can listen to the webinar by phone by contacting Aissa Good at 765-496-3884 or aissa@purdue.edu.
-- Purdue University release

      What FDA Does And Does Not Regulate

The Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act gives the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) the legal authority to approve and regulate drugs for animals. Before a drug company can market an animal drug, the company must get the drug approved by FDA. To get FDA approval, the drug company must prove that:
  • The drug is safe and effective for a specific use in a specific animal species. If the drug is for use in food-producing animals, the drug company must also prove that food products made from treated animals are safe for people to eat;
  • The manufacturing process is adequate to preserve the drug’s identity, strength, quality, and purity. The drug company must show that the drug can be consistently produced from batch to batch; and
  • The labeling is appropriate and truthful. The drug company must make sure that the labeling contains all necessary information to use the drug safely and effectively, including the risks associated with the drug.

FDA’s role doesn’t stop after an animal drug is approved. As long as the animal drug is marketed in the U.S., FDA continues to monitor:
  • The drug’s safety and effectiveness;
  • The drug’s manufacturing process to make sure quality and consistency are maintained from batch to batch; and
  • How the drug is marketed to make sure the advertisements are truthful and not misleading.
However, FDA doesn’t regulate vaccines for animal diseases. Veterinary biologics, including vaccines for animal diseases, are regulated by USDA. For more on what the FDA does and doesn’t regulate, go to www.fda.gov/AnimalVeterinary/NewsEvents/FDAVeterinarianNewsletter
-- FDA

    While Price Outlook Is Great, Industry Could Suffer

“It’s pretty easy to be bullish on cattle prices as forecasts call for still higher prices again next year. But it’s quite a bit harder to be bullish on the overall industry's market structure when it’s uncertain which operators will be around to enjoy those high prices,” says Darrell Mark, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension livestock marketing economist.
-- Click on headline to read the rest of this story by Darrell Mark, LMIC’s In The Cattle Markets



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