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  March 31, 2009 A Penton Media Property Vol. 1, No. 5  
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Wheat Acres Down 7%
By Larry Stalcup
As many expected, today’s USDA’s Prospective Plantings report showed wheat acres down nationwide at 58.6 million acres, a 7% drop from 2008. The report helped create some upward movement in the Chicago and Kansas City wheat markets.

Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) July wheat opened at $5.30/bu., up about 10¢. Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) July wheat opened at $5.70, up about 4¢. The Minneapolis Grain Exchange saw its spring wheat July contract open at $6.10, up about 6¢.

The 2009 winter wheat planted area was pegged at 42.9 million acres, 7% below last year but up 2% from the previous estimate. Of this total, about 30.9 million acres are hard red Winter, 8.38 million acres are soft red winter and 3.65 million acres are white winter.

Area planted to spring wheat for 2009 is expected to total 13.3 million acres, says USDA, down 6% from 2008. About 12.7 million acres are hard red spring wheat. The expected durum planted area for 2009 is 2.45 million acres, down 10% from the previous year.

USDA says corn growers intend to plant 85.0 million acres of corn for all purposes in 2009, down 1% from last year as lower corn prices and unstable input costs are discouraging some growers from planting corn. If realized, this will be the second consecutive year-over-year decrease since 2007 but will still be the third largest acreage since 1949, behind 2007 and 2008.

Soybean acres are projected at 76.0 million, up slightly from last year. If realized, USDA says the U.S. planted area would be the largest on record. All cotton plantings are expected to total 8.81 million acres, 7% below last year and the lowest since 1983.

For more on the USDA report click here.

Is It Too Late For Stored Wheat?
By Kim Anderson, Oklahoma State University grain marketing economist
It took from March 3 to March 20 for the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT) May wheat contract price to increase from $5.41 to $6.12/bu. (71¢). In two days the price fell to $5.55. The difference was the intensifying drought conditions during the first 20 days and forecasted moisture over much of the hard red winter (HRW) wheat belt during the last few days (just before the blizzard hit the southern plains and elsewhere). If 2009 HRW wheat production is average or better, prices are expected to remain relatively low.

Wheat is in relatively good condition in north-central Oklahoma and central Kansas, and has the potential to produce above-average yields. This is the heart of the HRW wheat belt. Wheat in much of western Oklahoma, north into western Kansas, the Texas Panhandle and Colorado, at the best, have the potential to produce average yields. The odds are the HRW wheat average yield will be slightly below average. HRW wheat planted acres are projected to be 30.2 million acres compared to 32.5 million last year and a five-year average of 31.1 million. The percentage of the HRW planted acres that are harvested will probably be about average.

The KCBT May wheat contract price has support at $5.40. March 31 and April 1 will be key days. KCBT May contract prices below $5.40 will signal that the next target price is about $5.10. Equivalent prices for the July wheat contract are $5.60 and $5.20.

If you have wheat in storage, you missed selling on the rally. Your only choices are to take your loss and sell the wheat, store and hope that something happens to the 2009 crop and prices increase or store the wheat past harvest and hope something happens to a major wheat crop somewhere else.

As long as harvest forward contract prices are at or below the cost of production, there is little reason to price 2009 wheat. This may be the year to revert back to the one-third, one-third, one-third strategy. After June, there appears to be more upside price potential than downside price risk. For prices to increase, a substantial loss in wheat production will be needed.

Nitrogen Recommendations For Eastern Production Areas
There’s still plenty time to apply nitrogen (N) to wheat in the eastern Midwest, says Edwin Lentz, Ohio State University (OSU) agronomist. He says N should be applied between green-up and beginning stem elongation. OSU research has shown that yields are not affected by delayed N until after early stem elongation, generally the end of April.

Studies over the last five years have shown that yields were the same or slightly better when a single application occurred at the first node visible of early stem elongation compared to initial green-up. Yields dropped 10-15% when a single application was delayed to early boot stage.

“At this time, we would recommend producers apply N as soon as field conditions allow application equipment,” says Lentz. “Since we are applying N between initial green-up and early stem elongation, any N source would be appropriate, so selection should be based on cost and availability.”

For the full article click here.

Source: Ohio State University

Senators Oppose Administration’s Ag Program Cuts
In preparation for the upcoming budget debate, U.S. Sens. Pat Roberts (R-KS) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) are leading a group of bipartisan senators in opposing the agriculture program cuts included in the president’s budget proposal and additional efforts to reopen the 2008 Farm Bill. "The proposal to eliminate direct payments to farms with sales of $500,000 lacks an understanding about the shifting trends in America’s agriculture economy,” cites a letter from 80 senators to the Obama Administration.

The opposition was outlined in a letter to Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad (D-ND) and Ranking Member Judd Gregg (R-NH). "We have seen tremendous participation gains in the crop insurance program over the last 30 years. More producers are properly managing their risks to the benefit of producers, consumers and taxpayers," says Roberts. "In a time of economic uncertainty, it doesn’t make sense to put 30 years of risk protection progress in further jeopardy."

"The farm bill is a completely paid for, bipartisan product representing two years of negotiations and tremendous sacrifice on the part of production agriculture," adds Lincoln. "That agreement is not even one year old as the administration proposes reopening those portions that affect producers.”

For the full story click here.

Insecticide Use Means $20-Billion Increase In Yield Value
The Crop Protection Research Institute (CPRI) has released a comprehensive study showing that insecticides add close to $20 billion in yield value to U.S. crops. CPRI is part of the CropLife Foundation (CLF), a non-profit, non-advocacy organization created to advance the understanding of pesticide use in the U.S. through research and education.

“The Value of Insecticides in U.S. Crop Production” is the culmination of a three-year effort focusing on 50 crops and examining the value of insecticides to production. It examines the value by crop, by state and by growers nationally, and demonstrates the enormous impact insecticides have in protecting the yields of numerous crops in the U.S. and in feeding millions of people while keeping food inexpensive and abundant, CPRI says. Given current economic conditions, it is more important than ever that food and fiber remain affordable.

Consumers would pay higher prices for the staples that they and their families rely on, not just in the U.S. but around the world and during a challenging global economy not seen for decades. The report details several key findings. Of the crops surveyed, 31 of 50 would suffer yield losses of 40% or greater and seven crops would see losses of over 70% without the use of insecticides. California, Florida and Washington would see the most dramatic losses in crop production value and 144 billion pounds of additional food, feed, and fiber would be lost annually in the U.S. For more click here www.croplifefoundation.org/Insecticide_Benefits/CPRI_release_FINAL.pdf.

Source: BakingBusiness.com

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Sign-up For ACRE Extended By Vilsack
In testifying today before the House Appropriations Committee, Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack says he is extending the deadline to get signed up for the new ACRE program.

"In response to concerns I have heard from producers worried about the upcoming June deadline for farm program sign-up, I am announcing today that USDA will be extending the sign-up deadline to Aug. 14," he says. "This action should provide producers with sufficient time to learn about the new ACRE Program and to make informed decisions about their sign-up options."

For more on this story click here.

Secretary Vilsack Names Michener To Head FAS
Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack has named Michael Michener as administrator of USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS). Michener replaces outgoing FAS Administrator Mike Yost, a Minnesota soybean farmer who came to the post with extensive experience in commodity organizations and international grain marketing.

"I am extremely pleased to have someone with Mike's vast foreign affairs experience on my team," says Vilsack. "In addition to its efforts to expand economic opportunities for U.S. agriculture in the international marketplace, FAS also plays a vital role in international food aid and development programs."

Michener has served in three U.S. foreign affairs agencies in the past 10 years. He has spent considerable time overseas promoting post-conflict stability operations, economic development and human rights.

USGC Forms Partnerships To Increase DDGS Demand In China
The U.S. Grains Council (USGC) is working to expand demand for U.S. feed grains and their co-products in China by building partnerships with Chinese dairy and livestock organizations. Eugene Chen, USGC technical program manager in Beijing, China, contracted for future cooperative work in USGC dairy programs with Guangdong Provincial Dairy Association, a non-profit organization comprised of dairy producers, milk processors and people from other dairy related institutes that purchases feed ingredients on behalf of its members.

USGC Beijing has also signed an agreement with the Shanghai Dairy Association and a similar agreement is in the works with Shanghai Provincial Dairy Association. "These associations are located near or on the Chinese coastline, which provides tremendous market opportunity for the U.S. as transportation costs will allow U.S. distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS) to be a competitive feed ingredient in these dairy-producing areas," says Chen.

The Guangdong Provincial Dairy Association Director Weikun Guan traveled to the U.S. in October 2008 to attend the council's International DDGS Conference in Indianapolis. Since then, the association has bought around 700 tonnes of U.S. DDGS and distributed it to eight dairy farms for use in their feed rations, according to USGC. It recently purchased another 500 tonnes, scheduled to arrive in late April. Both purchases were done through a third party contact Guan met at the conference.

Potential For Conservation Program Contracts Waste Reviewed
USDA’s administration of conservation programs was found to be lacking the proper internal controls to prevent waste, fraud and abuse, according to investigations from the House Agriculture Committee and others.

The committee's subcommittee on Conservation, Credit, Energy and Research held a hearing to review the administration and management of contracts for USDA conservation programs. The hearing focused on the importance of ensuring that USDA conservation programs are meeting the taxpayers' expectations for responsible management, accountability and assuring the wise use of tax dollars.

According to investigations conducted by the committee, the General Accounting Office and USDA’s Office of Inspector General, witnesses at the hearing suggested that USDA management needs to cooperate with other government agencies to do more to ensure that duplicate and improper payments are not made.

"I hope USDA has learned from the results of these investigations and improves funding management,” says subcommittee Chairman Tim Holden (D-PA). “We have a responsibility to verify that USDA is not making improper payments and we need NRCS and FSA to be good stewards of public money, so that in turn, we can continue to support farmers in being good stewards of the land,"

For more on the hearing, click here .

Source: House Committee On Agriculture

Take Part In Corn & Soybean Digest Poll
If you haven't already done so, please take part in an anonymous Corn & Soybean Digest (CSD) quick poll. The most recently posted question is: What’s your machinery+labor cost/acre? Answer the question and view quick poll results on CSD's home page at: www.cornandsoybeandigest.com/. (The poll question is just to the right of the “What’s New” top section of the Web site.)

Source: Corn & Soybean Digest

Growers, What New Creations Are You Using?
Dear Corn & Soybean Digest reader – All signs indicate that it’s soon time to get out into those fields and start the 2009 planting season. What new creations will you be using in your spring fieldwork? Did you modify anything over the winter months? Build a new implement in the warm shop while the temps fell outside? Corn & Soybean Digest wants to know!

When it’s time to get out to the field with your newest project, we’d like to be right there with you to see what new or different ideas took shape with the torch and welder through the winter. If you or someone you know has built or modified machinery, we’d like to hear from you. No idea is too big or too small. We’re interested in machinery that’s been built from scratch, or several pieces of equipment that have been torn down and re-assembled as a single unit, or simple modifications to existing equipment.

It’s always interesting to see anhydrous applicators, planters, sprayers and tillage tools that farmers have constructed to help them farm better, bigger or more efficiently. Also, we’re interested in any cost-cutting ideas that you’ve been doing to stay profitable. For example, have you been involved in any machinery sharing ventures, group input buying clubs, etc.? We can’t promise that we’ll get to every farm, but we promise to try. If you have an idea you’d like to share, please send an e-mail to CSD@csdigest.com or call Managing Editor Susan Winsor at 952-851-4662, or click below to enter your project. We will be in touch.

Tell us about your creation!

Thanks for your help,
The Editors

AgriBusiness Job Site
Go to www.agribizjobs.com/home/ and view some great opportunities for job seekers and ag companies looking for good employees. The site, part of Penton Media’s Ag Group, of which Corn & Soybean Digest and Farm Press are members, has a targeted online career center. Agribizjobs.com offers industry employers a growing, qualified audience of ag professionals and industry job seekers with agribusiness-specific categorized job listings. It’s a joint effort by Corn & Soybean Digest, Farm Press and sister publications, BEEF, Farm Industry News, Hay & Forage Grower and National Hog Farmer.

At www.agribizjobs.com/home/ employers can view complete but anonymous resumes for free, and pay only to connect with a job seeker. Job seekers can post resumes in ag-specific employment categories and sign up to receive e-mail alerts when new positions are posted that match their search criteria.

Thanks For Viewing eWheat
If you have any questions, comments or suggestions on the content of this newletter, please contact your editor Larry Stalcup at beef2lar@suddenlink.net. Also, thanks to our exclusive sponsor, DuPont, and its products and services for growers like you.



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