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  March 17, 2009 A Penton Media Property  
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Market Reaction To USDA S&D Report
By Larry Stalcup
Wheat prices didn’t react as negatively to Friday’s USDA Supply and Demand Report as some expected, even though it showed wheat stocks higher at 712 million bushels, as well as higher imports and lower domestic use and exports.

Chicago Board of Trade March futures ended Friday at $5.06/bu., down about 8.6¢. May futures closed Friday at $5.18, down 6.6¢. Both contracts were up sharply yesterday. Kansas City Board of Trade March wheat closed at $5.70, down 4¢, with May futures also closing at $5.70, down 6¢. The KC contracts were also higher yesterday. Minneapolis Grain Exchange March wheat ended last week at $6.30, down 4.4¢, with May closing at $6.09, down 8.4¢, with little changes yesterday.

The report showed that U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2008-2009 are projected 57 million bushels higher this month. Imports are raised 10 million bushels reflecting the strong pace to date, says U.S. Wheat Associates (USW). Food use is projected 25 million bushels lower.

For more on this story, click here

The World's Glut Of Grain
By Kim Anderson, Oklahoma State University grain marketing economist
Until the 2007-2008 wheat marketing year, wheat prices across the heart of the High Plains area averaged about $3.50/bu. USDA predicts the future average price of wheat will be above $5. The current glut of wheat and corn and the upcoming wheat harvest could result in wheat prices well below $5.

This time last year, U.S. wheat ending stocks were projected to be 272 million bushels, compared to 656 million bushels this year (2008-2009 increased to 712 million this month). World wheat ending stocks were projected to be 4 billion bushels compared to 5.5 billion bushels this year.

Wheat producers around the world reacted to historically high wheat prices by increasing production. The result was one of the largest year-to-year increases in ending stocks in history.

For more on this story, click here

EU Slaps Import Fees On U.S. Biodiesel
The European Union (EU) has slapped import fees on U.S. biodiesel, saying it had to protect European producers from unfair American subsidies and below-cost selling, reports The Associated Press. The EU fees will affect biodiesel sold by Archer Daniels Midland Co., Cargill Inc. and several others to Europe, the world's biggest user and producer of crop-based fuels.

EU trade spokesman Lutz Guellner says the fees were based on "clear evidence that unfair subsidization and dumping of U.S. biodiesel has taken place and that this is harming otherwise competitive EU industry with potentially dire long-term effects."

Despite Economic Slowdown, Higher Commodity Prices Projected Long Term
After dramatic increases in the prices of most commodities in the last three years, prices will retreat in 2009-2010. But growing demand for food, feed and fuel is expected to return them to historically high levels over the rest of the decade. That analysis is from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI), whose analysts briefed Congress this month on their 2009 agricultural economic baseline projections.



A widespread economic slowdown in 2009 weakens demand for agricultural commodities and, coupled with the high carryover supply from the last two years of high prices, depresses commodity prices in the short run, says FAPRI. However, world population growth, recovery in income growth and bioenergy mandates drive prices back to their historic highs over the rest of the decade.



The recent market turbulence in the advanced economies spreads and slows world economic expansion in 2009. However, recovery is projected in 2010, with long-term real growth in world gross domestic product of 3.5% reached by 2011. A bright spot in the outlook is that after the recovery, China, Vietnam and India still post solid growth of 8.6, 7.7 and 7.5%, respectively.

To read the full story, click here

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Texas Wheat, Other Commodities Face Nearly $1 Billion In Drought Caused Losses
Despite recent Texas rains, farmers and ranchers still feel effects of the lingering drought that is costing Texas agriculture nearly $1 billion, says the Texas AgriLife Extension Service.

“Texas farmers and ranchers are the most resilient bunch I have ever seen,” says Texas Agriculture Commissioner Todd Staples. “And while we are all grateful for recent much-needed rain, the fact remains – Texas producers have been hit hard with a triple threat starting with Hurricane Ike last fall, then with our nation’s current economic calamity and now with one of the worst droughts our state has seen in years. Most areas of the state will need some consistent rains to officially end the drought.”

According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, 100% of Texas counties are suffering from drought conditions. And 40% of the state is classified as extreme or exceptional – the two worst categories. According to AgriLife’s report, the current drought has already cost segments of the Texas agriculture industry $829 million.

More than half of the wheat crop is rated as being in poor to very poor condition, but there is still time for potential recovery. The drought has also made it difficult for Texas farmers to plant crops for 2009. If Texas receives substantial precipitation, the growing season could be saved.

For more information, go to www.TexasAgriculture.gov.

Trading Carbon Credits Worth Examining
Farmers and landowners could receive extra income from already-existing land management practices by selling carbon credits on the Chicago Climate Exchange says Lenny Farlee, a Purdue University expert.

“Farmers and landowners have an opportunity to sell carbon offset credits into carbon trading markets if they implement certain conservation practices,” says Farlee, Purdue Extension forester. “Eligible practices include no-till farming, if implemented between 2006 and 2010; grassland plantings that have been done since 1999, as well as forest tree plantings done since 1990.”

For more on this story, click here

Source: Purdue University

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Young Farmers Optimistic
Though confronted by numerous challenges, America’s young farmers and ranchers express a high level of optimism about agriculture and say they are better off than they were five years ago. Those are the general findings of the American Farm Bureau Federation’s 17th annual survey of young farmers and ranchers.

The young farmers, ages 18-35, say the availability of land and facilities, overall profitability and economic challenges continue to rank as their top concerns. However, reflecting a high degree of economic improvement, 89% of the respondents say they are better off than they were five years ago. The survey was conducted during the Farm Bureau 2009 Young Farmers and Ranchers Conference in February.

For more, click here

Source: Farm Bureau.

Online Calculator Helps Growers Analyze Natural Resource Use, Sustainability
Farmers can analyze their natural resource use and key wheat, corn and soybean (and other crops) production inputs using a new online tool Field to Market, The Keystone Alliance for Sustainable Agriculture.

The Fieldprint Calculator is a free, confidential online tool. It was developed with input from a diverse group of grower organizations, agribusinesses, food companies, economists and conservation groups to help farmers evaluate natural resource use on their operation compared to industry averages. These measures could help improve production efficiencies and profit potential.

The calculator is available at www.fieldtomarket.org for grower testing and feedback.

For more on this story, click here

Companies Eye Next Generation Biofuel
Royal Dutch Shell and Codexis, Inc. have an expanded agreement to develop better biocatalysts that could accelerate commercialisation of next generation biofuels made from wheat straw an other materials. As part of the agreement, Codexis will work closely with Shell and Iogen Energy Corporation to enhance the efficiency of biocatalysts used in the Iogen cellulosic ethanol production process.

The world-leading Iogen demonstration plant in Ottawa, Canada currently produces hundreds of thousands of liters of cellulosic ethanol from agricultural residue, such as wheat straw. The research program aims to enhance the Iogen process and shorten the timeline to its full-scale commercial deployment.

Source: Soyatech

Farmer Premiums For Hard White Wheat
Grain-based food products launched in recent years have included flour from hard white wheat varieties, known to produce a texture and taste of white wheat with a nutritious profile similar to whole grain. And growers can likely earn a 10% premium growing it.

"There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that the usage for retail products is going up and continues to go up," says Kent Symns, president of Farmer Direct Foods, a cooperative based in Atchison, KS.

However, acreage for white wheat appears stagnant. White wheat varieties are grown in California, Idaho, Kansas and Montana, according to the Kansas Wheat Commission. Hard white varieties accounted for 1% of the state’s seeded wheat acreage, down from 3.9% in 2005.

"White wheat continues to struggle because of our grain industry’s reluctance to accept change," says Symns. "Acreage is going down some from what it was a couple years ago. Farmers are wary about planting it. Many elevators say they don’t want it, or don’t want to receive it at harvest time."

This year’s efforts to grow hard white varieties were going better than last year’s efforts, when high commodity prices allowed farmers to profit while sticking with other wheat varieties. This year growers may receive about a 10% premium for hard white wheat.

Source: BakingBusiness.com

Growers, What New Creations Are You Using?
Dear Corn & Soybean Digest reader – Soils are thawing, winds are warming and seed is being delivered. All signs that it’s soon time to get out into those fields and start the 2009 planting season. What new creations will you be using in your spring fieldwork? Did you modify anything over the winter months? Build a new implement in the warm shop while the temps fell outside? Corn & Soybean Digest wants to know!

When it’s time to get out to the field with your newest project, we’d like to be right there with you to see what new or different ideas took shape with the torch and welder through the winter. If you or someone you know has built or modified machinery, we’d like to hear from you. No idea is too big or too small. We’re interested in machinery that’s been built from scratch, or several pieces of equipment that have been torn down and re-assembled as a single unit, or simple modifications to existing equipment.

It’s always interesting to see anhydrous applicators, planters, sprayers and tillage tools that farmers have constructed to help them farm better, bigger or more efficiently. Also, we’re interested in any cost-cutting ideas that you’ve been doing to stay profitable. For example, have you been involved in any machinery sharing ventures, group input buying clubs, etc.? We can’t promise that we’ll get to every farm, but we promise to try. If you have an idea you’d like to share, please send an e-mail to CSD@csdigest.com or call Managing Editor Susan Winsor at 952-851-4662, or click below to enter your project. We will be in touch.
Tell us about your creation! <insidepenton.com/research/sg/csd09shopproject.htm>

Thanks for your help,
The Editors

AgriBusiness Job Site
Go to www.agribizjobs.com/home/ and view some great opportunities for job seekers and ag companies looking for good employees. The site, part of Penton Media’s Ag Group, of which Corn & Soybean Digest and Farm Press are members, has a targeted online career center. Agribizjobs.com offers industry employers a growing, qualified audience of ag professionals and industry job seekers with agribusiness-specific categorized job listings. It’s a joint effort by Corn & Soybean Digest, Farm Press and sister publications, BEEF, Farm Industry News, Hay & Forage Grower and National Hog Farmer.

At www.agribizjobs.com/home/ employers can view complete but anonymous resumes for free, and pay only to connect with a job seeker. Job seekers can post resumes in ag-specific employment categories and sign up to receive e-mail alerts when new positions are posted that match their search criteria.

Take Part In Corn & Soybean Digest Poll
Remember to cast your ballot in the latest Corn & Soybean Digest (CSD) quick poll. The most recently posted question is: What is your machinery+labor cost/acre? (This survey is anonymous.)

Cast your vote on CSD's home page at: cornandsoybeandigest.com/. (The poll question is just to the right of the “What’s New” top section of the Web site.)

What Topics Would You Like To See Covered In eWheat?
Thanks again for reading eWheat. Your time is valuable and we want to make sure this new newsletter provides the information you want as a wheat producer. We will continue to look at domestic and world marketing trends, farm policy, research into disease, insect and weed prevention, grain quality and yields and other issues facing growers nationwide.

Please feel free to drop your eWheat editor Larry Stalcup a note at beef2lar@suddenlink.net. Let us know what topics you’d like to see in the coming weeks and months or what we can do to better serve you.

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