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A Penton Media Publication December 10, 2008 | Volume 8 Issue 50   
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 >> Logan Hawkes

 >> Colorado's Salazar could be next ag secretary

 >> WHAT DO YOU THINK? (POLL): Who will be the next ag secretary?

 >> Higher ethanol co-product exports expected

 >> Biofuels in uncertain times

 >> Pushing for science-based regulation

 >> Analysis of the food vs. fuel debate

 >> USDA: Recession to hit farm exports

 >> The Ugly Economic Numbers: Housing Starts

 >> BioProducts Innovation Center: soy-based technologies

 >> Reduce costs of irrigation pumping plants

 >> AFBF: Commitment to market access needed

 >> Corn prices down, grocery prices up

 >> Yale professor: two years to recovery

 >> Court allows rejection of VeraSun contracts

 >> Biofuels industry offers new crop options

 >> USDA lowers exports for 2009, imports up



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  EDITOR'S NOTE
Logan Hawkes
12/10/08    Crop News Weekly
Welcome to another winter season, or so it would seem with snow, sleet and freezing rain being reported across large areas of the West and Midwest over the last week or so. In fact, snow is falling as far south as the lower plains. Here's hoping the last of the harvest is over. Winter, it seems, has arrived. And as mentioned last week, the time has also arrived for us to wait and watch for coming changes in the world of agriculture. Check out the results of our current Quick Poll below and take a moment to become an active community member of Crop News Weekly.

In the news this week, according to Dan Keefe, U.S. Grains Council manager of international operations for distiller’s dried grains with solubles, U.S. DDGS exports are likely to recover in January, rebounding from a sluggish fourth quarter. Freight costs had been the primary factor in causing a loss of export sales of U.S. DDGS, a co-product of U.S. ethanol production. Also this week, thirty-five years ago this month, President Richard Nixon declared the country would be energy independent in a mere seven years. Obviously, that didn’t work out, but economist Joe Outlaw says it wasn’t a bad idea then and still isn’t. Do you think it's possible? And Nov. 4 was not exactly a “red-letter” day for the U.S. crop protection industry. In fact, some would argue the Democratic Party’s victory in the national presidential election was the seed and chemical sector’s worst nightmare come true. But, rather than bemoan the outcome, industry leaders have begun calling for the making of science-based regulatory decisions, something which they say was not always the case the last time a pro-environmental-lobby administration took office. Again, what do you think?

We ask the questions and shed some light on the answers in this issue of Crop News Weekly. Happy reading.



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  FROM OUR MAGAZINES
Colorado's Salazar could be next ag secretary
Congressman John Salazar, D-Colo., appears to have moved to the top of the list of the candidates to become secretary of agriculture in the Obama administration. Salazar, a farmer who represents his state’s Third Congressional District, appears to fit several criteria that could help determine the nominee for the post, says veteran Washington agricultural columnist Jim Wiesemeyer.

“His (Salazar’s) stock has risen in the last week,” said Wiesemeyer, a speaker at the 2008 USA Rice Outlook Conference in Little Rock, Ark. “He is a moderate to conservative Democrat. He was born and raised on a cattle operation and is a seed potato farmer. And he is Latino.”

Thus, Salazar, whose Web site says he was raised on a farm where he shared a bedroom with five siblings, with no running water or electricity, “fits in a lot of different categories and may have the inside track on this position,” said Wiesemeyer, vice president with Informa Economics in Washington. - Forrest Laws, Farm Press Editorial Staff
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

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WHAT DO YOU THINK? (POLL): Who will be the next ag secretary?
Midwest farmers speak out!
As part of our expanding service and to promote interaction between editors and subscribers, we initiated a new user's poll a week before the general election. The question was: "Who do you think will be elected the next president?" The response was tremendous. Our second and current user poll asks the question: "Who do you think will be the next U.S. Agriculture Secretary?"

Once again, the response has been substantial. Already, over 5,000 CNW subscribers and Corn & Soybean Digest readers have weighed in with their votes, and still counting. Follow the link (headline) above and check the results of the poll, or log into cornandsoybeandigest.com and check the upper right column to cast your vote in our current "Quick Poll".

Higher ethanol co-product exports expected
According to Dan Keefe, U.S. Grains Council manager of international operations for distiller’s dried grains with solubles, U.S. DDGS exports are likely to recover in January, rebounding from a sluggish fourth quarter. Freight costs had been the primary factor in causing a loss of export sales of U.S. DDGS, a co-product of U.S. ethanol production. “What we saw occur was bulk freight costs drop substantially relative to container freight costs,” said Keefe. “Container freight is usually the most common transport mode for DDGS and lower bulk freight costs made corn cheaper on a delivered basis, causing DDGS exports to suffer. (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

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Biofuels in uncertain times
Thirty-five years ago this month, President Richard Nixon declared the country would be energy independent in a mere seven years. Obviously, that didn’t work out, but economist Joe Outlaw says it wasn’t a bad idea then and still isn’t. “It’s easy for people to be cynical — ‘energy independent? We can’t do that’ — but my point is every little bit helps as long as the economics and a business model support it,” said the co-director of the Texas-based Agricultural and Food Policy Center at the recent American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers annual meeting. (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Pushing for science-based regulation
Nov. 4 was not exactly a “red-letter” day for the U.S. crop protection industry. In fact, some would argue the Democratic Party’s victory in the national presidential election was the seed and chemical sector’s worst nightmare come true. But, rather than bemoan the outcome, industry leaders have begun calling for the making of science-based regulatory decisions, something which they say was not always the case the last time a pro-environmental-lobby administration took office. “Under the current administration, the EPA is working hard to let science dictate the decision-making policy,” said Eric Wintemute, CEO of AMVAC Chemical Co. and chairman of the board of directors of CropLife America, the organization that represents most of the nation’s farm chemical suppliers. - Forrest Laws, Farm Press Editorial Staff
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

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According to Chuck Foresman, manager of weed resistance strategies for Syngenta, some experts expect the number of U.S. crop acres with glyphosate-resistant weeds to double this year to 10 million. There are currently nine weeds that have been confirmed resistant to glyphosate in the U.S., including Palmer amaranth, giant ragweed, common ragweed, waterhemp, Johnsongrass and marestail (horseweed). The Syngenta Resistance Fighter™ Solutions Module helps you find all the right products to fight resistance in your fields. www.resistancefighter.com
Analysis of the food vs. fuel debate
Earlier in 2008, prior to the severe economic woes of the past couple of months, the food vs. fuel debate was one of the hot political issues heading into the 2008 election. In recent weeks, those issues have again surfaced at the national level. Some major organizations, members of the national news media and a few members of Congress have blamed the rapid expansion of ethanol production in the U.S. as the primary cause of significant increases in food costs, food shortages in third world countries and many other problems around the world. These claims were based on the fact that the price of corn doubled in two years to $6-7/bu. in July, and that there could be potential shortages of corn. Some were calling for the U.S. to relax standards for utilization of renewable fuels, and to eliminate all federal government support for the ethanol industry in the U.S. - Kent Thiesse, Corn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

USDA: Recession to hit farm exports
USDA has cut its estimate of U.S. agricultural exports for fiscal 2009 by $14.5 billion, or nearly 13%, due to falling prices and weak demand caused by the global recession. USDA on Monday forecast fiscal 2009 farm exports at $98.5 billion, down from an August estimate of $113 billion. USDA's quarterly trade report also projected farm imports of $81 billion – down $2 billion from its previous forecast, but still a record. Fiscal 2008 imports were pegged at $79.3 billion. - Richard Brock, Corn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

The Ugly Economic Numbers: Housing Starts
Ag Road Warrior Dave Kohl writes: "Lead and lag economic indicators can either foretell or confirm an economy’s direction. Let’s dive into the numbers and see what they are telling us: One in six jobs in the economy is directly or indirectly dependent on the direction of the housing market. To put this in perspective, housing starts at the height of the housing boom were 2.3 million annually in 2004 and 2005. Latest economic releases indicate they are down to less than 800,000 annually..." - Corn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

BioProducts Innovation Center: soy-based technologies
The soybean, its use once limited to agriculture, is cementing a place in industry as a biodegradable substitute for petroleum in a variety of commercial products. In an effort to promote and commercialize the most promising soybean-based products and materials, the Ohio BioProducts Innovation Center (OBIC), along with the Ohio Soybean Council and PolymerOhio, is leading a yearlong effort to assess current national soy-based technologies. - Corn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Reduce costs of irrigation pumping plants
To save energy and money, Nebraska irrigators should check their irrigation pumps for maximum efficiency, Tom Dorn, a University of Nebraska-Lincoln Extension educator, says. Irrigation pumps that operate at the average efficiency found in university tests are using 30% more energy than necessary, says Dorn, Extension educator in Lancaster County. - COrn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

AFBF: Commitment to market access needed
American Farm Bureau Federation President Bob Stallman agrees with congressional leaders who this week sent a letter to President Bush opposing a December meeting of WTO trade ministers. Before such a meeting is held, Stallman said, there must be “sufficient evidence that WTO members are truly committed to granting meaningful market access. “Moving ahead with a deal that Congress and agriculture cannot support would be detrimental to the overall stature of the WTO as an institution and would provide no stimulus to the slumping global economy,” Stallman said. (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Corn prices down, grocery prices up
As families prepare to gather for their annual Thanksgiving dinner, the American Coalition for Ethanol (ACE) cautioned that despite Consumer Price Index data indicating lower prices for virtually all consumer items, families will be paying more for their annual dinner than they did last year because food processing companies have held food prices artificially high. A review of a typical Thanksgiving dinner grocery list shows that the items needed to feed a family of 10 this year will cost 12% more than just one year ago – $48.13 in 2008 compared to $42.46 last year. - Corn & Soybean Digest
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Yale professor: two years to recovery
Jeffrey Garten, whose professional credentials include Juan Trippe Professor of International Trade, Finance and Business in the Yale School of Management; chairman of Garten Rothkopf (an international advisory firm); and former dean of the Yale School of Management, compares the current global financial crisis to “the eye of a massive storm.” “We are at the beginning of a massive transformation of the global financial system,” Garten told participants of the recent Sourcing USA Summit in Austin, Texas. “No part of the global economy is unaffected.” Garten admitted to being a bit more pessimistic about the worsening economic crisis. (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Court allows rejection of VeraSun contracts
The U.S. Bankruptcy Court presiding over the VeraSun Energy Corporation case this week considered concerns of corn growers and suppliers. Legal counsel for an ad hoc advisory committee formed by the National Corn Growers Association, state affiliated organizations, and others participated in the hearing in Wilmington, Del. As expected, bankruptcy law and the ruling will allow VeraSun to reject any contracts that are economically disadvantageous to VeraSun, including corn growers’ contracts. “We are happy that the court listened to corn growers’ views,” said Ron Litterer, NCGA chairman and corn grower from Greene, Iowa. “It was doubtful that we could influence the courts to require VeraSun to pay the contracted price for our corn. We believe we did influence other issues of concern to growers.” (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

Biofuels industry offers new crop options
Sorghum may become an important crop option for Southwestern farmers looking to capitalize on what observers hope is a growing biofuels industry. New crops add diversity to areas that have depended on one or two farm enterprises and help farmers manage risks in a volatile market environment. And adding grain, forage or sweet sorghum as a rotation option should improve yield potential for traditional Southwest crops. Oklahoma State University Agronomist Chad Godsey is looking at several cropping systems and production techniques to help farmers manage what may be new crop options. - Ron Smith, Farm Press Editorial Staff
(To read the complete article, click on the headline above)

USDA lowers exports for 2009, imports up
USDA forecast 2009 U.S. agricultural exports at $98.5 billion on Dec. 1, down $14.5 billion from August and $17 billion below record 2008 sales. The report combines information from the Economic Research Service and the Foreign Agricultural Service. The outlook for U.S. exports has changed dramatically with the expectation of global recession in 2009. The combination of weaker global demand, falling prices, and an appreciating dollar create a very unfavorable outlook for U.S. exports. Huge wheat supplies from Russia, EU, and Ukraine are increasing competition in grain markets. Grain and feed exports were lowered from August, and exports are now forecast $10 billion below record 2008 sales. (To read the complete article, click on the headline above)



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