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CROP NEWS WEEKLY
In the November 4, 2009 Issue:
Brought to you by the editors of
Corn & Soybean Digest and Farm Industry News
 Changes in market oversight bill
 Grain sprouting, storage concerns
 Survey finds strong support for corn farmers
 Damaged crops - cost rising
 Ag disaster program - SURE
 Where's the economy headed?
 Increased agricultural productivity: Complex puzzle
 Farmers' cap/trade costs - EWG
 This frightening 2009 season

EDITOR'S NOTE

Logan Hawkes
11/04/09

Harvest woes continue across the Midwest as high moisture and wet fields remain a problem for many. On the brighter side, at least for soybean producers, markets remain strong and if you can get the beans harvested, you may be surprised to find prices are not only holding steady but have improved since early October. With today's volatile markets, that can change quickly of course. But so far so good in spite of weather delays and a slow harvest start. Corn producers are facing moisture problems as well and we're quickly reaching a point where the crop is going to have to come out of the field regardless. None-the-less, a few days of improved weather and we could catch up a great deal, and that's exactly what we're all hoping will happen.

In the news this week, a recent survey indicates corn producers are getting a lot of support in their efforts. Grain markets and ethanol production rank high on the list as factors for the good survey results. Also this week, there have been changes in the market oversight bill. What does that mean for farmers? Find out in this week's special feature. Elsewhere, record October rainfall plus cool weather has increased risk for mold development in corn, and telephone calls to the University of Illinois (U of I) have increased with questions from producers on how to best deal with this risk. You'll find that in this week's offerings below.

Get started below and check out all our features in this issue of Crop News Weekly. And, as always, happy reading.

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FROM OUR EDITORS

Changes in market oversight bill

The substitute addresses jurisdictional issues in the context of swaps by providing for Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) jurisdiction over swaps and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) jurisdiction over swaps that are primarily based on securities. These two agencies are required to consult with each other and with banking regulators before regulating.

Prior to passage of a market oversight bill by the House Agriculture Committee last week, committee counsel Andy Baker outlined the changes between it and an earlier version, HR 977, passed in February.

Like 977, said Baker, “the substitute provides for position limits on physical commodities; clearing of over-the-counter (OTC) transactions; increased transparency, recording and record-keeping of offshore trading. - David Bennett, Farm Press Editorial Staff

FULL ARTICLE >>

Grain sprouting, storage concerns

Prolonged wet weather increases chances that grain crops will sprout before they can be harvested this fall, said a University of Missouri Extension agronomist.

Plentiful moisture and temperatures above 50 degrees are what farmers want after planting in the spring, not before harvest in the fall, said Bill Wiebold, crops specialist. “Sprouting could ruin the grain quality.”

Most years, the corn and soybean crop are harvested and in the bin by mid-October. However, the wettest October in 70 years has stopped most attempts to harvest grain across the state. - University of Missouri Cooperative Media Group

FULL ARTICLE >>

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Survey finds strong support for corn farmers

A nationwide survey conducted for the National Corn Growers Association found broad public respect and trust for family farmers and support for corn as food, feed and fuel. Ninety-five percent of those polled find farmers to be trusted messengers on issues such as agriculture, corn products and ethanol – and ethanol itself was supported or strongly supported as a good fuel alternative by 65 percent.

“We expected to see some pretty solid results in this polling, but the final numbers were beyond what we imagined,” said NCGA President Darrin Ihnen, a farmer in Hurley, S.D. “This high level of support is gratifying, and it is also a challenge for us to work hard to maintain the trust consumers have placed in us.”

When it comes to uses for corn, support was broad. Ninety-five percent support its use as food for people and 93 percent as livestock feed, while 67 percent support the use of corn as a sweetener and 65 percent, as noted, support corn ethanol. Other uses of corn, such as for fiber and packaging, were supported by 73 percent of those polled.

FULL ARTICLE >>

Damaged crops - cost rising

Arkansans are assessing the damage following an Oct. 30 storm system that dumped more than 5 inches of rain in some areas in 24 hours on top of already saturated ground.

“Rainfall amounts as of this morning are running 3 to 6 inches,” said Brent Griffin, Prairie County Extension staff chair for the University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture, following the storm. “If White and Cache river forecasts hold true, this will put most, if not all, of the high ground under water east of Des Arc on Hwy 38 and north toward Augusta on Hwy 33.”

On Oct. 29, the Cache River at Patterson was at 10.4 feet, above its 8-foot flood stage. By Tuesday, the river is forecast to reach 11.3 feet. - Mary Hightower, University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture

FULL ARTICLE >>

Ag disaster program - SURE

After inquiries from farmers about the status of the Supplemental Revenue Assistance Payments (SURE) program, Delta Farm Press made calls to several state Farm Service Agency offices in the South. SURE is a permanent disaster program administered by the USDA and was created in the 2008 farm bill as a replacement for ad hoc disaster programs.

All FSA employees we spoke with expect a lot of quality losses in 2009. Answers to the most common questions on the permanent disaster program were cobbled together from the short interviews. - David Bennett, Farm Press Editorial Staff

FULL ARTICLE >>

Where's the economy headed?

U.S. farmers and consumers who are trying to figure out what the future holds aren’t getting much help from Washington these days. As a result, they may need to pick out some economic indicators that could help them chart their course.

Ernie Goss, professor of economics at Creighton University in Lincoln, Neb., identified some of those indicators while giving members of the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers his take on the current economic outlook at the ASFMRA’s 80th annual meeting in Denver.

“We’re all sitting on the sidelines, trying to figure out what’s happening,” said Goss, a graduate of the University of Tennessee who has held a number of public and private economic positions over the years. “I’ve never seen this much uncertainty over government policy and the national economy.” - Forrest Laws, Farm Press Editorial Staff

FULL ARTICLE >>

Increased agricultural productivity: Complex puzzle

The jump in prices of agricultural commodities in 2008 was devastating not only for US dairy and livestock producers—its repercussions could be felt around the world with food riots in many countries and trade restrictions in a number of others. For many, that this crisis could occur at all was a wake up call.

Given recent discussion by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) officials and presenters at the World Food Prize presentation in St. Louis, the crisis and increase in the number of hungry in the world provides an opportunity to promote accelerated growth in agricultural productivity. Many at the meeting either called for or announced future productivity gains.

Ellen Kullman, CEO of DuPont, agrees with FAO that food production needs to double by 2050 to meet the needs of a growing world population. In addition she announced that DuPont expects that corn and soybean yields will increase by 40 percent over the next nine years.
- Daryll E. Ray, Agricultural Policy Analysis Center, University of Tennessee

FULL ARTICLE >>

Farmers' cap/trade costs - EWG

In early October, the Environmental Working Group released a study titled “Crying Wolf” that focused on what a cap and trade system would mean for farmers’ energy costs.

The study, said an EWG press release, found “projected increased costs of production due to the climate bill will be so small — $0.45 per acre for soybeans, $0.66 per acre for wheat, and $1.19 per acre for corn, for example — that they amount to well under one half of one percent of current production costs.” - David Bennett, Farm Press Editorial Staff

FULL ARTICLE >>

This frightening 2009 season

Surely, Halloween was not as scary as the 2009 Mid-South growing season.

Our spring was more suited for raising catfish than producing crops, as excessive rains and cool weather delayed planting and created two crops — one late, one early — that would challenge growers all summer long.

July and August deluges put growers in unfamiliar territory during what are traditionally the dog days of summer. Growers found themselves suddenly worried more about getting water off the field rather than getting water on the field. - Elton Robinson, Farm Press Editorial Staff

FULL ARTICLE >>

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DAVE KOHL
IS A COLLEGE DEGREE WORTH IT?
I have been asked, “Is a college degree worth it?” several times over the last nine months while conducting young and beginning farmer/rancher conferences for Farm Bureau and Farm Credit. A common follow-up question to this one is, “Is a degree in agriculture still relevant?”

My answer is based upon my 25 years in academia and working with both the business and agricultural industries. First, a college degree is still useful and is worth it in the long run. That being said, with college and university tuition at many schools increasing faster than the rate of inflation, there are some economic tradeoffs.
MORE
KENT THIESSE
2009 HARVEST CONDITIONS WORSEN
Heavy rainfall; wet, cloudy weather; and even some snowfall from Oct. 20-25 has worsened the already-dismal harvest concerns for 2009 in many areas of Minnesota. Very little progress was made on the 2009 corn and soybean harvest this past week in many areas of the state. Fortunately, the short-term weather forecast for last week of October sounds a bit more favorable to resume harvest in some areas. Harvest progress varies greatly throughout the region. In many areas of south-central Minnesota, soybean harvest is 65-70% complete, and some corn has been harvested. However, in many other portions of southern and western Minnesota, less than half of the soybeans and very little corn have been harvested at this point.
MORE
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RICHARD BROCK
EXPORT DELAYS WORRISOME FOR SOYBEAN MARKET
Severe harvest delays recently helped push soybean prices to their highest levels since early August, but the delays are also now spurring concern that export sales could be lost.

A continued shortage of supplies in the export market due to the slow U.S. harvest pace is likely forcing Chinese buyers to delay previously scheduled U.S. shipments.

There is concern some of that demand may migrate to China’s domestic crop and that some cargoes may be shifted to South America if the U.S. loading delays continue. Buyers could also turn to alternative oilseeds to replace some U.S. soybean shipments.
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MORE MAGAZINE HIGHLIGHTS
QUICK POLL QUESTION
This week's poll question: How likely is it that you’ll harvest 100-bu. soybeans?

* In the next five years
* In the next ten years
* Not Likely

Log on now to the Corn & Soybean Digest and take our quick poll. We would all like to know your answer! (And check the current results while you're there)
Vote Now

MOLD AND MYCOTOXINS SHOWING UP IN CORN
Record October rainfall plus cool weather has increased risk for mold development in corn, and telephone calls to the University of Illinois (U of I) have increased with questions from producers on how to best deal with this risk.

Moldy corn reduces bushel weight, corn quality and nutrient content and increases the risk of mycotoxin formation.

“Mycotoxins are toxic substances produced by fungi or molds that grow on grain or feed in the field or in storage. Mycotoxins associated with cool and wet conditions are zearalenone, T-2 toxin, umonisin and deoxynivalenol, also called DON or vomitoxin,” says Mike Hutjens, U of I Extension dairy specialist. - Corn & Soybean Digest
MORE

INTERPRETING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND MEASURES
One of the unique things about agriculture is that most ag producers are also their own chief financial officer. As agriculture becomes more and more complex, farm and ranch managers need to understand and communicate in the financial world. The Center for Farm Financial Management has created a new online workshop series to help ag producers (and anyone who works with them) understand and use common financial statements and measures. Our new Web site, Interpreting Financial Statements and Measures (IFSaM), is intended to teach producers the basics of interpreting the four major financial statements and the 21 financial measures recommended by the Farm Financial Standards Council.

IFSaM is a series of online videos that producers can work through at their own pace. Each session provides benchmarks, based on actual farms, that producers can use to evaluate their own financial position and their financial performance. Case farm examples are used to bring the data to life. There are also optional “test your knowledge” quizzes at the end of each session. In total, there is over 2 ½ hours of information. - Corn & Soybean Digest
MORE

UNDERSTANDING CORN TEST WEIGHT
Corn test weight (TW) is an often discussed topic of conversation among corn growers. The topic moves to the forefront in years when corn has been stressed at some point during the grain filling period or when the growing season is ended by frost before physiological maturity is reached. In many cases, the concept of test weight is misunderstood. Test weight is volumetric measurement. An official bushel measures 1.244 cu. ft. To measure TW, we usually take the weight of some smaller unit of measure and make a conversion. The official minimum allowable TW for U.S. No. 1 yellow corn is 56 lbs./bu., while No. 2 corn is 54 lbs. It's unknown how this all started hundreds of years ago, but perhaps it was easier and more fair to sell things based on volume (length x width x height) – something a person could see – instead of weight. Today, of course, corn is sold by weight and often in 56-lb. blocks that we, for some reason, still call a bushel. Because weight is contingent on moisture content, grain buyers base their price on a "standard" moisture of (usually) 15% or 15.5%. - Corn & Soybean Digest
MORE

NEW CELLULOSIC ETHANOL PROJECTS = NEW JOBS
My small town has lost a few businesses recently. I’m sure you’ve seen the same in your towns. The picture has been pretty bleak in many rural areas around the country in recent years. That’s why it’s encouraging to learn that some of the new cellulosic ethanol projects being planned could create new jobs in areas where new jobs are sorely needed.

The December edition of Farm Industry News will publish an update on where some of the leading cellulosic ethanol projects are at in the demonstration and commercialization stage. - Lynn Grooms, Farm Industry News
MORE

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