View this email as a Web page Please add NHF_North American Preview_ to your Safe Sender list.

August 1, 2008 A Penton Media Property



Table Of Contents
Ag Secretary Schafer Disappoints
Disease Monitoring Helps Ensure Export Market Access
Interim COOL Rule Released



What's new on National Hog Farmer?

- World Pork Expo 2008 New Product Tour
- 8 Tips for Tough Times
- Comparing Circovirus Vaccine Efficacy
- USDA Grant Advances Illinois PRRS Research

- Current Issue: World Pork Expo Product Tour
NationalHogFarmer.com



About This Newsletter
Send Comments & Questions To
Dale Miller, Editor, National Hog Farmer

To unsubscribe from this newsletter go to: Unsubscribe

To subscribe to this newsletter, go to: Subscribe


 

Market Preview
Ag Secretary Schafer Disappoints
Wednesday was a disappointing day for livestock feeders as the USDA once again turned its back on helping reduce the huge increase in livestock production costs. Secretary of Agriculture Ed Schafer announced that USDA would not allow penalty-free withdrawal of acres from the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP).

Schafer cited the recent fall of corn and soybean prices and the improving crop conditions as factors in his decision. “The strength and commitment of America’s farmers have made to meet the nation’s need for corn for food, feed and fuel have reassured the markets that there will be adequate supply available this year,” he added. Shafer also cited USDA’s decision to allow haying and foraging on 24 million CRP acres after the primary nesting season expires.

I’m sorry to be so cynical, but I would have thought that the Secretary of Agriculture could have figured out that releasing CRP acres now will do nothing for this year’s crop. Further, according to my nutrition classes, more hay will do little if anything to help non-ruminants. Finally, the secretary is correct that this year’s corn supply looks better and may be large enough to keep prices lower than once feared. But, shouldn’t government officials be looking a bit further ahead?

The most recent data I have seen from Iowa State’s Center for Agricultural and Rural Development suggest that we will have enough ethanol capacity to use corn at an annual rate of over 5.3 billion bushels per year by late 2009. That is nearly 1.5 billion bushels more than USDA is forecasting for the 2008-2009-crop year. While more acres will very likely be planted to corn next year, rising input costs that may drive corn planting cost to $600 or more will limit that growth.

In light of this decision, input cost risk will remain quite high through 2009-2010.

COOL Labeling Rules
USDA also released this week an interim final rule for mandatory country-of-origin labeling (COOL). The highlights include:
  • It does not apply to covered commodities produced and packaged before Sept. 30, 2008.

  • Animals in the United States on or before July 15, 2008, that remain in the United States will be considered of U.S. origin.

  • Foodservice establishments and processed food items are exempted from labeling. Examples include meatloaf, meatballs, fabricated steak, breaded veal cutlets, corned beef, sausage, breaded chicken tenders and teriyaki-flavored pork loin.

  • Labeling rules regarding ground meat require listing all countries of origin that may be reasonably contained.

  • Records must be maintained for one year and available within five days if requested by a USDA representative.

  • Slaughter facilities must possess or have legal access to records that substantiate their origin claims. A producer affidavit will be considered acceptable evidence as long as it is provided by someone having firsthand knowledge of the animals' origin and identifies the animals unique to the transaction.

  • The labeling requirement provides packers the flexibility to label animals born, raised and/or slaughtered in the United States, but not imported for direct slaughter, as “product of the U.S.,” and any other country in which the animal was either born or raised.

  • To label product as “product of the United States,” it must come from animals born, raised and slaughtered in the United States.
The total first-year implementation costs of COOL for all directly affected firms are estimated to be $2.5 billion. USDA’s breakdown is $376 for each producer, $53,948 each for intermediaries and $235,551 each for retailers.

Price Rally Continues
Pork cutout values and hog prices continued to rally last week – cutout values to year-long highs and hog prices quite near the yearly high. The two major drivers have been ham prices (near $90/cwt.) and 72% trimmings ($73/cwt.). Both cuts are usually driven by exports at this time of year. Whatever the source, we’ll take it!

NOTE: Our normal Production and Price Data tables are not included in today’s North American Preview due to some technical difficulties. We apologize and certainly hope that the computers will be healed by next week!




Click to view graphs.

Steve R. Meyer, Ph.D.
Paragon Economics, Inc.
e-mail: steve@paragoneconomics.com



ADVERTISEMENT

Make ileitis disappear?

Denagard® (tiamulin) 10 is approved to control ileitis in as little as 10 days. And with its small dosage – 35 grams tiamulin/ton – and less medication time, no other feed medication is as cost-effective for controlling ileitis.






Click on the Denagard logo to learn more.

Swine Health Preview
Disease Monitoring Helps Ensure Export Market Access
It’s no secret that pork exports are having a big impact on the value of pigs marketed in the United States. U.S. pork’s growing share of the global market is a major reason for good market prices despite record production levels.

Pork exports are expected to continue to climb unless current market forces change dramatically, such as a significant increase in the value of the U.S. dollar or a major disease outbreak sufficient to affect export markets occurs. The value of U.S. currency is a topic for others to cover, so I’ll focus on discussing the importance of disease monitoring.

Trading partners ask two questions about the health status of the national herd:
  1. Which diseases do your pigs have?

  2. How do you know?
The answers to those questions involve reporting both the test results and the disease testing strategy. First, reporting has to be transparent and routine, so trading partners have confidence in the information. Second, testing has to be sufficient to convince our trading partners that we have conducted adequate testing to detect diseases if they are here and robust enough for early detection of a disease if it were to get into the country.

Transparent, Regular Reporting
Routine diagnostic reporting is organized through the National Animal Health Reporting System (NAHRS) (www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/ceah/ncahs/nahrs/). The system is a collaborative effort made up of the American Association of Veterinary Laboratory Diagnosticians, the U.S. Animal Health Association and the USDA’s Animal & Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS).

Diagnostic laboratories and state animal health officials send monthly disease status reports to NAHRS, which reports results to the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) (www.oie.int/eng/en_index.htm).

Twenty swine diseases are reportable to the OIE (see table below), including diseases commonly found in the United States (i.e. PRRS virus), as well as exotic diseases never seen here (i.e. Nipah virus). A profile of the Nipah virus can be found at: www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/biosecurity/ag-biosec/anim-disease/nipah.html.

Transparency is important, but it comes at a cost. Some countries voiced concerns when we reported another round of new PRRS virus strains last year, even though the virus and circumstances were very different from the situation in China.

'Absence of Evidence is not Evidence of Absence'
The quote, above, attributed to astronomer Carl Sagan, seems to fit this discussion. It’s not enough to report on whether or not we managed to diagnose a reportable disease. We also need to demonstrate to our trading partners that sufficient testing has been done to detect the disease if it were present.

An example is the extensive testing for bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE or Mad Cow Disease) that has been running in the United States since 2005 (see U.S. Food & Drug Administration site, www.fda.gov/oc/opacom/hottopics/bse.html). Over half a million cattle were tested in 2006 alone.

In the pig world, an ongoing surveillance program has been in place for pseudorabies (PRV) since the end of the eradication program, primarily using slaughter surveillance.

The second part of a testing program is a targeted surveillance program designed for early detection of a disease if it gets into the country. For Classical Swine Fever (CSF), for example, higher risk areas have been identified based on increased risk of contact with countries with endemic CSF due to proximity or travel patterns (see www.aasv.org/aasv/documents/GotTonsil.pdf). Testing for CSF is coordinated through the USDA National Animal Health Laboratory Network (NAHLN; see www.aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/nahln/).

A network of 38 state and university diagnostic labs participates in the CSF surveillance-testing program. (See list at www.aphis.usda.gov/animal_health/nahln/downloads/csf_lab_list.pdf). Diagnostic laboratories in Iowa and Minnesota also select samples from submitted diagnostic cases for CSF screening. In addition to improving the chances for early detection, running the tests routinely on surveillance cases keeps the labs in practice in case large-scale testing is needed in the event of an outbreak.

While astute producers and accredited veterinarians remain the first line of defense for detecting significant disease outbreaks, the ongoing national surveillance system and the network of diagnostic laboratories helps assure our trading partners that we are a trusted source for quality pork.

Swine diseases tracked by OIE:
African Swine Fever
Anthrax (Bacillus anthracis)
Aujesky's Disease (Pseudorabies)
Classical Swine Fever (Hog Cholera)
Cysticercosis (Cysteicercus cellulosae)
Echinococcosis/Hydatidosis
Foot-and-Mouth Disease
Japanese Encephalitis
Leptospirosis
New and Old World Screwworm
Nipah Virus Encephalitis
Porcine Brucellosis (Brucella suis)
Porcine Reproductive & Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS)
Rabies
Rinderpest
Transmissible Gastroenteritis (TGE)
Trichinellosis (Trichinell spiralis)
Tularemia (Francisella tularensis)
Vesicular Stomatitis Indiana
Vesicular Stomatitis New Jersey

Jerry Torrison, DVM
University of Minnesota Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory
torri001@umn.edu



ADVERTISEMENT

New to the Team. Veteran of the Game.

Fast-acting Baytril® 100 (enrofloxacin) is approved for treatment and control of swine respiratory disease. When a proven winner joins an already great team, the results are phenomenal. So Bayer Animal Health is proud to offer Baytril 100 for treatment and control of swine respiratory disease (SRD) in all phases of production. For use by or on the order of a licensed veterinarian. Swine intended for human consumption must not be slaughtered within 5 days of receiving a single injection dose.






Click on the Baytril 100 logo for more information.

Legislative Preview
Interim COOL Rule Released
USDA issued an interim final rule for the implementation of the mandatory country-of-origin labeling (COOL) program to become effective Sept. 30. The rule covers muscle cuts and ground beef (including veal), lamb, chicken, goat and pork; perishable agricultural commodities (fresh and frozen fruits and vegetables); macadamia nuts; pecans; ginseng and peanuts. Commodities covered under COOL must be labeled at retail to indicate their country of origin. Beef, lamb, pork, goat and chicken products that are muscle cuts, and other covered commodities, will fall into one of four categories: 1) product of the United States; 2) multiple countries-of-origin; 3) imported for immediate slaughter; and 4) covered commodity that is foreign country-of-origin.

House Passes ADUFA — The House of Representatives passed by voice vote H.R. 6432, the Animal Drug User Fee Act (ADUFA). This legislation reauthorizes the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to collect fees from the animal health industry to be used for the review and approval of animal health products. The fees supplement FDA’s congressional appropriations to provide for more timely review of new animal drugs. Since ADUFA was originally passed in 2003, FDA has been able to reduce its review time for new animal drugs. This has allowed new drugs to enter the marketplace quicker while maintaining high standards for safety and effectiveness. The bill now goes to the Senate for consideration. ADUFA expires on Sept. 30. The legislation is a priority of the livestock and animal health industries.

What’s Driving Food Prices? — The Farm Foundation recently released a paper, “What’s Driving Food Prices?” to assess the forces driving food prices. According to the paper, there are three broad sets of forces driving food price increases: 1) global changes in production and consumption by key countries, 2) the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, and 3) growth in the production of biofuels. The paper said that the ethanol blender credit, tariff and Renewable Fuel Standard are factors causing increased corn price, “but quantitatively, most of the increase has been driven by higher oil prices.” Staff of Purdue University completed the paper.

USDA Renews PRRS Project — USDA’s Cooperative State Research, Education and Extension Service (CSREES) has renewed funding of $4.8 million for the Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome (PRRS) Coordinated Agricultural Project (CAP). USDA said, “A new strain of highly pathogenic PRRS has been found in China and Vietnam and is implicated as the primary cause of Porcine High Fever Disease, resulting in the death of large numbers of swine. Renewal of the PRRS project responds to the urgent need to make sure the right tools are available to keep this foreign strain from affecting the U.S. swine industry.” It is estimated PRRS affects 60% of U.S. swine herds and costs the swine industry $580 million annually.

No “Early Out” for CRP — Secretary of Agriculture Ed Schafer announced that USDA would not allow early out for Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) contracts without penalty. Schafer indicated that market conditions have improved and that acreage was exiting CRP through normal maturities. According to USDA, there are 1.15 million acres of CRP that mature as of Sept. 30, 2008, and 3.855 million acres will mature on Sept. 30, 2009. The National Pork Producers Council (NPPC) indicated its disappointment with the secretary’s decision, stating, “We are cutting back our swine herd and production by as much as 10% over the next several months, and even then we will need more acres and more corn in 2009 to meet the demands of ethanol producers and other users and to feed this smaller herd. Without these CRP acres, which can be responsibly farmed using today’s modern techniques to prevent soil erosion and protect the environment, we will have no ability to grow our industry to respond to worldwide demand. Pork producers are deeply disappointed by USDA’s short-sighted decision.” Senator Tom Harkin (D-IA), chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee, supports USDA’s decision and said, “After the spring and early summer disasters throughout the Midwest, USDA rightly allowed emergency use of CRP land for grazing. I believe Secretary Schafer has drawn a sound distinction between that emergency access vs. offering an option for CRP contract holders, unilaterally, to cancel their contracts and put land back into crop production without any penalties or interest.”

Judge Allows CRP Haying and Grazing — The U.S. District Court in Seattle ruled last week to allow haying and grazing for producers with approved Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) contracts. Those producers who have submitted applications but have not heard from USDA will have their applications processed. If approved, they may make hay until Sept. 30 or graze until Oct. 15. The ruling replaces a temporary restraining order initiated on July 8.

Record Federal Deficit — The Bush administration announced this week that this fiscal year would set a record for national debt at $482 billion. The previous record was $413 billion for fiscal year 2004.

P. Scott Shearer
Vice President
Bockorny Group
Washington, D.C.



ADVERTISEMENT

Introducing the new PIC Camborough® Family

You asked for greater lifetime reproductive performance and longevity. You asked for more pounds of pork marketed per sow. You asked for a higher percentage of market pigs in the full-value pay box.

Take another look at our new Camborough family, we think you will like what you see--after all, it is just what you asked for. www.pic.com/usa

Pork Industry Calendar
Aug. 8, 2008: Swine Farrowing Training Course (presented in Spanish), St. James, MN; contact: Mark Whitney, (507) 389-5541, whitn007@umn.edu or click on www.extension.umn.edu/swine.

Aug. 12, 2008: Hog Margin Maker Risk Management Workshop, Carroll County Extension Office at Carroll, IA; contact: (712) 792-2364.

Click here to get National Hog Farmer's complete pork industry calendar.



ADVERTISEMENT

Swine Disease Control Made Easy. Introducing Ingelvac MycoFLEX®. Call Boehringer Ingelheim at 1-800-325-9167



You are subscribed to this newsletter as #email#

To get this newsletter in a different format (Text or HTML), or to change your e-mail address, please visit your profile page to change your delivery preferences.

For questions concerning delivery of this newsletter, please contact our Customer Service Department at:
National Hog Farmer
A Penton Media publication
US Toll Free: 866-505-7173 International: 847-763-9504 Email:nationalhogfarmer@pbinews.com

Penton Media | 249 W. 17th Street | New York, NY 10011

Copyright 2008, Penton Media. All rights reserved. This article is protected by United States copyright and other intellectual property laws and may not be reproduced, rewritten, distributed, re-disseminated, transmitted, displayed, published or broadcast, directly or indirectly, in any medium without the prior written permission of Penton Media.