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National Hog Farmer Weekly Preview
June 15, 2009
 
In this issue:
  Defining Demand for Pork as Prices Languish
  Propping Up Farrowing Rates
  FDA Food Safety Reform Passes Subcommittee
  Thousands Make Trip To World Pork Expo

MARKET PREVIEW
Defining Demand for Pork as Prices Languish
We all know demand is not what it should be, right? But which demand are we talking about? Specifying just where any demand problems may lie is a point upon which even I have not been clear enough lately. In addition, what I am seeing in hog prices is not squaring with information I’m hearing about consumer attitudes and behavior. So I did a little number crunching last week.

First, a bit of background. Hog prices have languished far below last year’s level and levels where virtually everyone expected them to be this summer. But does that mean pork demand is bad? Well, sort of, if you are talking about wholesale demand, which is closely correlated with hog demand since wholesale prices and by-product values are the major determinants of hog bids.

FULL ARTICLE

PRODUCTION PREVIEW
Propping Up Farrowing Rates
There are three main variables that impact the success of a mating/service – the female to be bred (sow/gilt), semen quality, and the capabilities of the person responsible for the insemination.

Farrowing rate is one of the Key Performance Indicators (KPI’s) used in the Swine Management Services’ (SMS) database. It also has one of the flattest KPI bell curves (Chart 1) in the database. Farms vary from below 70% to 92% farrowing rate for the most current 52 weeks in the database.

Chart 2 shows the wean-to-1st service interval for the last 52 weeks, showing an average of 7.03 days and a range of less than 4 days to 10+ days. As pig weaning age goes up and more lactation feed is fed, there is a trend for weaned sows to cycle sooner.

FULL ARTICLE

LEGISLATIVE PREVIEW
FDA Food Safety Reform Passes Subcommittee
The House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Health passed H.R. 2749, the “Food Safety Enhancement Act.” The bill increases the Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) authority to regulate food. FDA is given authority to mandate food recalls, subpoena records, conduct on-farm inspections and impose civil penalties. Food facilities would be inspected by FDA based on risk. High-risk facilities would be inspected at least once every six to 18 months and low-risk facilities would be inspected every three to four years. The bill also provides for a study to analyze the incidence of antibiotic resistance as it pertains to the food supply and develop new methods to reduce the transfer of antibiotic resistance to humans.

Committee Deadline for Climate Change Legislation Set — House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has set June 19 as the deadline for all committees with jurisdiction to complete action on the climate change legislation (HR 2454). Speaker Pelosi would like for the full House to pass the legislation before the July 4 recess. A key issue for members of the House Agriculture Committee is indirect land use. Chairman Collin Peterson (D-MN) has been meeting with House leadership to try and resolve this issue. Currently over 30 agricultural and farm organizations have stated their opposition to HR 2454, the Waxman-Markey bill. These include the American Farm Bureau Federation, American Meat Institute, National Chicken Council, National Corn Growers Association and the National Turkey Federation.


FULL ARTICLE

NEWS FLASH
Thousands Make Trip To World Pork Expo
Despite unprecedented challenges in the U.S. pork industry, thousands of pork producers and allied industry exhibitors came together in early June for the National Pork Producers Council’s 21st annual World Pork Expo.

Pork producers are struggling from an extended period of low prices compounded by negative reactions following the April 24 announcement of the H1N1 Flu Outbreak Virus.

The drop in attendance from 2008, estimated at 14,625, was expected, due in part to the H1N1 flu’s impact on international travel.

“With the market conditions, we knew some pork producers would not be able to make the trip this year,” says John Wrigley, World Pork Expo general manager. “But with the addition of the H1N1 virus issue hitting at exactly the time international visitors had to make travel plans, we believe it had a significant impact on international attendance.”

FULL ARTICLE

PORK INDUSTRY CALENDAR
June 21 - 24, 2009: Reciprocal Meat Conference 2009. Rogers, Arkansas; Hosted by University of Arkansas and Tyson Foods.
Contact: Thomas Powell, AMSA Executive Director (tpowell@meatscience.org). Web site: www.meatscience.org/rmc/09invite.html

August 24 - 28, 2009: ID•INFO EXPO 2009, Kansas City, Mo. the ID•INFO EXPO 2009 will focus on recent advances in animal identification technology as there's been significant advances made these past two years. In addition, we'll explore traceability as it lines up with food safety, animal health and marketing efforts. With recent food safety concerns in produce and troubles locating the source of the produce, more and more consumers are asking "Where did this come from?" and retailers are actively pursuing solutions to meet consumer demand. In addition, export markets will continue to increase demands for traceability. More information is available at www.animalagriculture.org.

October 27 - 29, 2009: Meat Industry Research Conference. McCormick Place; Chicago, Illinois. This will take place in conjunction with the World wide Food Expo.
Contact Person: AMSA member services at 800-517-2672 or information@meatscience.org.
Web Site: www.worldwidefood.com Past Proceedings Web Site: www.meatscience.org/MIRC/

FULL ARTICLE
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 BLUEPRINT

MORE EFFICIENT USE OF FEED
The volatility of feed prices in recent years has heightened producers' awareness of the need for continual improvement in the efficiency of feed use. Click here for the complete Blueprint archive.

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 MAGAZINE HIGHLIGHTS

This month's focus:
The Masters
The Masters of the Pork Industry are a special, hand-picked group of pork industry visionaries.
Surviving the Spotlight
How you communicate in a crisis makes a difference.
Canada Regroups After COOL
Mandatory country-of-origin labeling leads the list of issues facing Canadian pork producers.

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 POSTERS

FREE SELECTION GUIDES AND MANAGEMENT POSTERS
National Hog Farmer offers 10 posters targeting key production areas, offering guidance in critical areas such as feet and leg soundness and reproduction traits soundness in replacement gilts. Others include pig anatomy, heat detection, sow condition, etc. All posters are in English. Select posters are translated to Spanish, Chinese and Japanese.

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