| issue
highlights |
August 13, 2008 | A
Penton Media, Inc. Publication |
editor's perspective
CLECs see silver lining
Aug. 13, 2008, by Ed Gubbins
Quarterly earnings calls have become the weather vanes of the uncertain
economy, each one drawing interest as a gauge of spending trends in
telecom.
But although there's consistency in the tone of telecom service
providers — general acknowledgement of "challenging" times, etc.
— the economy isn't affecting all of the market's players in the
same way. These are the times that separate losers from those who aren't
losing as much.
Service providers should expect to see more volatility among small
business customers — many of those customers will go under, and
new ones won't be so quick to replace them. And they may see purchase
delays among larger customers. Those trends are evident in
second-quarter earnings, as providers on the lower end of the market are
feeling more pressure than those at the higher end. Level
3 declared strong market demand and positive free cash flow but
relatively flat revenue. Meanwhile, Paetec and Cogent Communications
both lowered
their revenue expectations for this year. And the message from
CBeyond, which focuses largely on small businesses in particular, was
essentially: Hey,
at least it's not getting worse.
The good news is that there is still opportunity for any CLEC to grow,
even in this sour market. When business is booming, competitors can
comfortably watch the tide lift every boat. But a harsh economy presents
an opportunity for every carrier to take market share.
"CLECs that are taking share can still do well in a flat market,"
financial analyst Donna Jaegers told me in this
recent interview, pointing out that Bell companies still own
three-fourths of most local markets, leaving plenty of room for rivals.
TWTelecom CEO Larissa Herda acknowledged as much in the company's earnings
call yesterday, saying, "Let's face it, we have low market share,
which allows us to take share and grow, even [in a slow economy]."
A silver lining that, for some companies, could be turned into gold.
E-mail me at ed.gubbins@penton.com
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Michel Howard, co-founder and principal analyst of Infonetics
Research, Inc., discusses the economics of the move from majority TDM to
majority packet networks. He explains Packet-Optical Network Platforms,
which have configurable parts of Carrier Ethernet switching,
SONET/SDH/OTN ADM/crossconnect (MSPP), OTN/WDM transport and ROADM. Read this
important paper now.
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The second quarter was one of the worst quarters for broadband on
record, with dramatic declines in subscriber additions across the
industry. Ben Piper, director of multiplay market dynamics for Strategy
Analytics, explains what's driving this drama and where the market will
go next.
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Telephone application platform startup ifbyphone has built a
building block platform for assembling web and telephony integrated
applications. We talk to CEO Irv Shapiro about the Web/telco mashup
market and the opportunity to better serve SMBs with this more flexible
application approach.
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Clearwire has gone into ready mode, slowing its cash burn and
cutting its capex in anticipation of the $3.2-billion influx of capital
it will receive once its merger with Sprint's WiMAX division is
complete. In the interim, Clearwire is focusing on prepping its initial
four WiMAX networks for launch and working with Sprint to develop a
joint operational and deployment plan to help ease the burden of
integration after the deal closes.
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While multicast mobile TV is still inching along in North America,
the same can't be said for unicast TV. Despite the supposed
inefficiency of running a direct audio or video stream to individual
devices, both MobiTV and mSpot recently reported some healthy growth
numbers.
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Sprint halved its capital expenditures between the first and second
quarters, reducing investment in not only its primary CDMA and iDEN
networks, but cutting spending on its still-fledgling WiMAX network as
it waits for its joint venture with Clearwire to close.
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With Verizon's official launch of visual voicemail, the carrier is
taking the service beyond simply mapping visual functions onto the same
traditional voicemail prompts and into group-centric applications and
organization. In addition to the standard visual features made popular
by Apple's iPhone and mimicked by the Samsung Instinct, Verizon's app
allows users to forward their messages, create up to 10 greetings, up to
20 distribution lists and 50 distribution members to receive messages.
It also lets users avoid the phone call to other Verizon subscribers by
responding directly with voicemail.
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Like a lot of other construction companies, White-Spunner
Construction of Mobile, Ala., is working hard to be more environmentally
friendly in creating new buildings, looking to earn LEED Certification,
based on the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design Green
Building Rating System. As part of that effort, White-Spunner turned to
its telecommunications provider, Callis Communications, to seek more
energy-efficient ways of delivering telecom services within the new
45,000-foot headquarters building the company planned to construct.
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The economic climate surrounding business IP communications is
holding steady, CBeyond said in reporting its second-quarter earnings.
Though acknowledging "the continuation of a challenging economy" in the
second quarter, Jim Geiger, CBeyond's chief executive officer, said,
"The economy did not appear to worsen, at least in its effect on our
business."
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Cogent Communications lowered its revenue and earnings expectations
for the year following the company's first-ever quarter of negative
traffic growth. Cogent saw a 1% sequential decline in network traffic in
the second quarter, primarily due to a 3% decline in the month of June,
caused in part by a drop in usage from schools amid summer vacation.
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Integra5 made its name offering caller ID on the television set.
While the communication infrastructure developer continues to add
customers for this technology, the latest being today's addition of
Canada's Videotron, a new generation of TV viewers has begun to crave
a new form of socializing on-screen. Social networking has taken its
hold on the PC and mobile handset, and the TV set is quickly coming up
to speed as well. It is in this community-based atmosphere that Integra5
this week introduced Media Friends.
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